0x39FD7f7e5d025a0C442CB89a773F314F81807D31-1763491453684
0x39fd7f7e5d025a0c442cb89a773f314f81807d31
- Realised P&L
- $2.7k
- Volume
- $213.0k
- Markets traded
- 347
- Open portfolio
- $7.8k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded347
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.4kat 0.900Will FedEx say "Truck" during earnings call?
- +$1.4kat 0.329Will Trump say "Gobble" or "Waddle" 10+ times at the Turkey Pardon on Tuesday?
- +$1.2kat 0.075Will Trump say "Tom" or "Homan" at Rocky Mount events on Friday?
- +$630.48at 0.639Will Trump say "Job" 10+ times during call with Service Members on November 27?
- +$602.48at 0.490Will Powell say "Pause" during December press conference?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 00:35 | Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority? | BUY | 0.925 | $462.50 |
| 10-28 00:28 | Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority? | BUY | 0.92 | $53.93 |
| 10-27 23:32 | Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats? | BUY | 0.1814722537 | $40.06 |
| 10-27 23:31 | Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats? | BUY | 0.16 | $23.20 |
| 10-27 21:05 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.68 | $67.99 |
| 10-27 02:13 | Will Tito-Dante Marimpietri win the 2026 Oshawa mayoral election? | BUY | 0.99 | $25.54 |
| 10-27 02:08 | Will Tito-Dante Marimpietri win the 2026 Oshawa mayoral election? | BUY | 0.9716631368 | $87.17 |
| 10-27 02:08 | Will Derek Giberson win the 2026 Oshawa mayoral election? | BUY | 0.9872280307 | $140.31 |
| 10-27 00:36 | Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election? | BUY | 0.9672606882 | $18.55 |
| 10-27 00:34 | Will George Minakakis win the 2026 Milton mayoral election? | BUY | 0.98 | $105.27 |
| 10-20 05:28 | Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%? | BUY | 0.8241670139 | $98.89 |
| 10-20 05:28 | Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | SELL | 0.75 | $1.1k |
| 10-20 05:24 | Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%? | BUY | 0.6989694971 | $33.91 |
| 10-20 05:15 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MO-05 House election by 3% or more? | SELL | 0.94 | $78.96 |
| 10-20 05:12 | Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%? | BUY | 0.6993970243 | $89.31 |