0x39f24857178d75d051efddb6b1ebb2c5f9690c26
0x39f24857178d75d051efddb6b1ebb2c5f9690c26
- Realised P&L
- $30.65
- Volume
- $3.6k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $185.26
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration26.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gambia win on 2026-09-29? · Yes | 0.110 | 1.000 | $181.73 | +$161.73 |
| Will Togo win on 2026-09-29? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.019 | $3.45 | −$16.55 |
| Will Tanzania win on 2026-09-29? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.001 | $0.05 | −$9.95 |
| Will Nigeria win on 2026-09-29? · Yes | 0.326 | 0.001 | $0.03 | −$17.25 |
| Will Burundi win on 2026-09-29? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.49 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$115.19at 0.480Will France win on 2026-09-28?
- +$89.47at 0.532Will Spain win on 2026-09-26?
- +$60.50at 0.375Will Sweden win on 2026-09-28?
- +$41.22at 0.738Will Netherlands win on 2026-09-27?
- +$38.25at 0.152Will Madagascar win on 2026-09-29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 16:38 | Will Nigeria win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.3260377358 | $17.28 |
| 09-29 16:07 | Will Togo win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.1099999999 | $20.00 |
| 09-29 16:04 | Will Gambia win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.1099999999 | $20.00 |
| 09-29 15:40 | Will Tanzania win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 09-29 15:36 | Will Madagascar win on 2026-09-29? | SELL | 0.28 | $100.00 |
| 09-29 15:00 | Will Madagascar win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.1399999997 | $50.00 |
| 09-29 14:28 | Will Burundi win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.13 | $1.49 |
| 09-28 20:48 | Will Brazil win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.73 | $100.00 |
| 09-28 20:45 | Will France win on 2026-09-28? | SELL | 0.999 | $240.42 |
| 09-28 19:38 | Will Sweden win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.3499999995 | $33.90 |
| 09-28 17:55 | Will France win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.4499999994 | $108.30 |
| 09-27 17:59 | Will Norway win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.4199999986 | $98.78 |
| 09-27 17:58 | Will Germany win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.6799999988 | $89.78 |
| 09-27 17:51 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-09-27? | SELL | 0.97 | $209.08 |
| 09-27 15:53 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.6999999995 | $150.89 |