PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x39f24857178d75d051efddb6b1ebb2c5f9690c26

0x39f24857178d75d051efddb6b1ebb2c5f9690c26

Realised P&L
$30.65
Volume
$3.6k
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$185.26

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
ClearProfit concentration26.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration98.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gambia win on 2026-09-29? · Yes0.1101.000$181.73+$161.73
Will Togo win on 2026-09-29? · Yes0.1100.019$3.45−$16.55
Will Tanzania win on 2026-09-29? · Yes0.1000.001$0.05−$9.95
Will Nigeria win on 2026-09-29? · Yes0.3260.001$0.03−$17.25
Will Burundi win on 2026-09-29? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$1.49

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-29 16:38Will Nigeria win on 2026-09-29?BUY0.3260377358$17.28
09-29 16:07Will Togo win on 2026-09-29?BUY0.1099999999$20.00
09-29 16:04Will Gambia win on 2026-09-29?BUY0.1099999999$20.00
09-29 15:40Will Tanzania win on 2026-09-29?BUY0.1$10.00
09-29 15:36Will Madagascar win on 2026-09-29?SELL0.28$100.00
09-29 15:00Will Madagascar win on 2026-09-29?BUY0.1399999997$50.00
09-29 14:28Will Burundi win on 2026-09-29?BUY0.13$1.49
09-28 20:48Will Brazil win on 2026-09-29?BUY0.73$100.00
09-28 20:45Will France win on 2026-09-28?SELL0.999$240.42
09-28 19:38Will Sweden win on 2026-09-28?BUY0.3499999995$33.90
09-28 17:55Will France win on 2026-09-28?BUY0.4499999994$108.30
09-27 17:59Will Norway win on 2026-09-27?BUY0.4199999986$98.78
09-27 17:58Will Germany win on 2026-09-27?BUY0.6799999988$89.78
09-27 17:51Will Netherlands win on 2026-09-27?SELL0.97$209.08
09-27 15:53Will Netherlands win on 2026-09-27?BUY0.6999999995$150.89