paulhenry
0x39ec7542b025b40158eda0b67439d6022b339e04
- Realised P&L
- $-124.09
- Volume
- $25.2k
- Markets traded
- 89
- Open portfolio
- $30.63
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded89
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patriots vs. Bills · Bills | 0.730 | 0.725 | $30.61 | −$0.21 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on September 28? · No | 0.860 | 0.001 | $0.02 | −$36.35 |
| Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 18, 2026? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$41.15 |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 28? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.26 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$29.04at 0.636Nuggets vs. Suns
- +$6.78at 0.650W35 Santa Margherita di Pula: Mia Horvit vs Martina Colmegna
- +$2.17at 0.880Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 10?
- +$1.98at 0.320Will the Chiefs win the AFC Championship?
- +$1.66at 0.650Will Josh Allen win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 13:23 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in January? | BUY | 0.981999999 | $11.33 |
| 01-30 15:29 | Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.998 | $14.48 |
| 01-30 13:24 | Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $27.78 |
| 01-30 12:13 | Will xAI have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $41.28 |
| 12-30 17:27 | Will XRP reach $3.50 before 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.00 |
| 12-30 14:29 | Will Trump pardon Eric Adams in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $2.77 |
| 12-30 14:23 | Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31? | BUY | 0.9989999065 | $10.05 |
| 12-30 11:20 | Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $23.80 |
| 12-29 21:31 | Will Trump sell 2.5k-5k Gold Cards in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $8.27 |
| 12-29 21:09 | Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.9989999438 | $9.46 |
| 12-29 20:39 | Will Solana dip to $70 before 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.04 |
| 12-29 19:49 | Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $38.48 |
| 10-30 21:22 | Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | BUY | 0.991 | $31.07 |
| 10-30 17:43 | Will Google have the top AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.9849999998 | $31.65 |
| 09-29 15:35 | Will XRP reach $4.50 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.35 |