0x39eae31c06b5243c5b8163747279af8f3a96ca1f
0x39eae31c06b5243c5b8163747279af8f3a96ca1f
- Realised P&L
- $-15.57
- Volume
- $22.0k
- Markets traded
- 107
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded107
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.15at 0.074Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 20?
- +$9.39at 0.086Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 4?
- +$6.00at 0.147Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 26?
- +$5.25at 0.285Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 4PM ET
- +$4.90at 0.096Bitcoin Up or Down on September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 19:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.0142857143 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 18:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2PM ET | SELL | 0.5 | $2.44 |
| 10-02 18:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2PM ET | BUY | 0.4099999816 | $2.00 |
| 10-02 17:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1PM ET | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 17:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 17:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET | SELL | 0.39 | $1.18 |
| 10-02 17:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 17:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | SELL | 0.7008695652 | $2.26 |
| 10-02 17:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET | SELL | 0.28 | $2.14 |
| 10-02 17:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET | BUY | 0.2599999713 | $1.99 |
| 10-02 17:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.6199998946 | $2.00 |
| 10-02 17:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.3399999966 | $2.00 |
| 10-02 16:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET | SELL | 0.68 | $2.52 |
| 10-02 16:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $2.00 |
| 10-02 16:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12PM ET | SELL | 0.034 | $0.97 |