PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x39e8b58521d49bf621aa1920503a7acf602ed317

0x39e8b58521d49bf621aa1920503a7acf602ed317

Realised P&L
$4.89
Volume
$357.77
Markets traded
81
Open portfolio
$12.97

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded81
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · Yes0.2100.670$6.38+$4.38
Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · Yes0.7600.971$2.56+$0.56
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · No0.7800.835$2.14+$0.14
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $332 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes0.4200.380$1.81$0.19
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? · Yes0.4000.017$0.09$1.92

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 05:07Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $332 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.419999979$2.00
09-20 16:28Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?BUY0.7099998509$2.00
09-20 07:33Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?BUY0.7599999848$2.00
09-18 21:24Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?BUY0.78$2.00
09-17 11:41Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?BUY0.4$2.00
09-17 03:16Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?BUY0.5599999328$2.00
09-16 19:15Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?BUY0.2399999808$2.00
09-16 10:54Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?BUY0.2099999895$2.00
09-15 10:51Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?BUY0.75$1.75
09-15 02:12S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 15?BUY0.4299999807$2.00
09-14 18:12Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026?BUY0.2599999896$2.00
09-13 07:27Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?BUY0.6599998944$2.00
09-10 23:46Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in August?BUY0.5199999792$2.00
09-10 15:45Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?BUY0.7199999424$2.00
09-10 07:45Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?BUY0.77$2.00