0x39df7ed9fbd1cce8fd48bf0fec9ea05d3b296818
- Realised P&L
- $5.41
- Volume
- $2.7k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $192.61
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party win the MO-05 House seat? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.926 | $192.61 | +$92.77 |
| Will Coinbase (COIN) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.094 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$68.06 |
| Will SpaceX raise less than $40B in its IPO? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-5.76at 0.691Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
- +$-5.95at 0.224Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-03 04:08 | Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.6623228211 | $95.98 |
| 05-03 04:08 | Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31? | SELL | 0.21 | $91.30 |
| 05-03 04:08 | Will Coinbase (COIN) beat quarterly earnings? | SELL | 0.09 | $24.84 |
| 05-02 23:47 | Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by May 31? | BUY | 0.223674962 | $97.25 |
| 05-02 23:17 | Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $98.55 |
| 05-02 23:17 | Will Coinbase (COIN) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.09401 | $94.01 |