SmallFishGambler
0x39d807a9c34f226e8c5b7d2a06822bc7ff47f064
- Realised P&L
- $20.3k
- Volume
- $674.3k
- Markets traded
- 64
- Open portfolio
- $10.1k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded64
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample39 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)59.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.8kat 0.291Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- +$4.6kat 0.572Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)
- +$4.1kat 0.420Will FC København win on 2026-10-15?
- +$3.5kat 0.290Will Bulgaria vs. Estonia end in a draw?
- +$2.8kat 0.453Will RSC Anderlecht win on 2026-07-30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 06:38 | Will AS Roma win on 2026-11-03? | BUY | 0.36 | $1.4k |
| 11-02 06:38 | Will Manchester United FC vs. AS Roma end in a draw? | BUY | 0.25 | $500.00 |
| 11-01 20:35 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.31 | $1.0k |
| 11-01 17:43 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in November? | BUY | 0.0636460673 | $100.00 |
| 11-01 16:12 | Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5899999996 | $500.00 |
| 11-01 16:12 | Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.4899999996 | $500.00 |
| 11-01 16:11 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.31 | $2.0k |
| 11-01 16:10 | Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-01? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.8k |
| 11-01 13:40 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Indiana Secretary of State election? | SELL | 0.2671256504 | $358.84 |
| 11-01 06:06 | Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.68 | $3.9k |
| 10-31 09:25 | Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.4899999999 | $2.0k |
| 10-31 07:55 | Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5599999999 | $1.5k |
| 10-30 21:43 | Will Club Brugge win on 2026-10-30? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.5k |
| 10-30 21:37 | Will Lille OSC vs. Racing Club de Lens end in a draw? | SELL | 0.59 | $305.17 |
| 10-30 21:37 | Will Lille OSC win on 2026-10-30? | SELL | 0.24 | $240.00 |