PolyBot

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Traders

SmallFishGambler

0x39d807a9c34f226e8c5b7d2a06822bc7ff47f064

Realised P&L
$20.3k
Volume
$674.3k
Markets traded
64
Open portfolio
$10.1k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.0%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded64
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample39 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)59.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5650.535$2.8k−$158.21
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.3100.245$2.4k−$629.02
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.4900.385$1.9k−$528.63
Will AS Roma win on 2026-11-03? · Yes0.3600.355$1.3k−$18.83
Will Manchester United FC vs. AS Roma end in a draw? · Yes0.2500.245$490.00−$10.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in November? · Yes0.1810.170$420.81−$27.19
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in November? · Yes0.0760.100$262.75+$62.75
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in November? · Yes0.0510.045$176.83−$23.16
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in November? · Yes0.0290.030$106.12+$6.12
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in November? · Yes0.0240.017$71.94−$28.06
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November? · Yes0.0150.011$39.27−$10.73
Will Club Brugge KV vs. Racing Club de Lens end in a draw? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$665.62
Will Estonia win on 2026-09-29? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00−$428.23
Will FK Crvena zvezda win on 2026-08-04? · Yes0.5290.000$0.00−$3.9k
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-10-18? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00−$232.14

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 06:38Will AS Roma win on 2026-11-03?BUY0.36$1.4k
11-02 06:38Will Manchester United FC vs. AS Roma end in a draw?BUY0.25$500.00
11-01 20:35Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.31$1.0k
11-01 17:43Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in November?BUY0.0636460673$100.00
11-01 16:12Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?BUY0.5899999996$500.00
11-01 16:12Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.4899999996$500.00
11-01 16:11Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.31$2.0k
11-01 16:10Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-01?SELL0.999$5.8k
11-01 13:40Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Indiana Secretary of State election?SELL0.2671256504$358.84
11-01 06:06Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-01?BUY0.68$3.9k
10-31 09:25Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.4899999999$2.0k
10-31 07:55Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?BUY0.5599999999$1.5k
10-30 21:43Will Club Brugge win on 2026-10-30?SELL0.999$2.5k
10-30 21:37Will Lille OSC vs. Racing Club de Lens end in a draw?SELL0.59$305.17
10-30 21:37Will Lille OSC win on 2026-10-30?SELL0.24$240.00