expectingmore
0x39d3079f0f0725dcf30ed3893617af52671b963d
- Realised P&L
- $-11.7k
- Volume
- $27.98M
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $14.3k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration67.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.004 | $3.7k | −$7.5k |
| Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.004 | $2.8k | −$3.3k |
| Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.002 | $2.4k | −$11.4k |
| Will the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.004 | $1.7k | −$460.80 |
| Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.004 | $1.3k | −$1.3k |
| Will the New York Jets win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.004 | $895.82 | −$667.62 |
| Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.004 | $795.40 | −$481.01 |
| Will the Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.004 | $396.60 | −$313.95 |
| Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.002 | $275.40 | −$795.52 |
| Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.011 | $0.06 | −$0.06 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.5kat 0.012Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$1.0kat 0.012Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$603.15at 0.322Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?
- +$407.36at 0.013Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$287.59at 0.010Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 21:47 | Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.0042447069 | $786.01 |
| 09-08 02:12 | Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.002 | $1.52 |
| 09-06 00:04 | Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.003 | $4.82 |
| 09-02 01:23 | Will the Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.005 | $402.80 |
| 08-26 15:31 | Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.012 | $8.76 |
| 08-26 15:31 | Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0058744587 | $198.42 |
| 08-26 15:31 | Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0118201898 | $14.41 |
| 07-29 00:35 | Will the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.008 | $27.34 |
| 07-29 00:34 | Will the New York Jets win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.009 | $21.57 |
| 07-22 13:40 | Will the Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.007 | $74.22 |
| 07-19 09:01 | Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.009 | $107.03 |
| 07-19 08:59 | Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.006 | $152.00 |
| 07-14 20:46 | Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.008 | $180.50 |
| 07-14 20:46 | Will the Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.008 | $25.89 |
| 07-14 20:45 | Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship? | SELL | 0.009 | $106.97 |