thishastobethea
0x39d1cb4961c86903d3b40796c504ffc052695109
- Realised P&L
- $-18.37
- Volume
- $108.45
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $41.21
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-16.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration85.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next Israeli government formed by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.695 | $23.17 | +$3.17 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.365 | $15.53 | −$4.47 |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.285 | $2.51 | −$0.49 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET · Down | 0.815 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.06 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET · Down | 0.766 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.07 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET · Down | 0.747 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.70 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET · Down | 0.882 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET · Up | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.16 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.38at 0.786Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
- +$0.24at 0.805Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 06:40 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.3399999773 | $3.00 |
| 10-28 06:38 | Next Israeli government formed by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.599999994 | $20.00 |
| 10-28 04:08 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $20.00 |
| 02-19 10:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET | BUY | 0.76 | $4.98 |
| 02-19 10:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET | BUY | 0.78 | $4.99 |
| 02-19 06:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET | BUY | 0.8799999648 | $0.99 |
| 02-19 06:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET | BUY | 0.8 | $0.99 |