0x39c9ae461fb40e67d9a89a162bacc9477bb2ddeb
- Realised P&L
- $-233.00
- Volume
- $19.2k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $2.53
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.031 | $1.40 | −$7.61 |
| Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027? · Yes | 0.269 | 0.017 | $1.14 | −$17.36 |
| US civil war before 2027? · Yes | 0.108 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$89.25 |
| Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.00 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes | 0.099 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.34 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? · No | 0.004 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$59.99 |
| Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.07at 0.930Starmer out by April 30, 2026?
- +$-1.00at 0.350US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-08 07:07 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.002 | $8.00 |
| 04-07 16:42 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.004 | $25.00 |
| 04-07 16:41 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | SELL | 0.34 | $34.00 |
| 04-06 22:17 | Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster? | BUY | 0.07 | $7.00 |
| 04-06 18:32 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.004 | $20.00 |
| 04-06 18:29 | Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown? | BUY | 0.0699999939 | $10.00 |
| 04-06 18:25 | Starmer out by April 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.985 | $37.07 |
| 04-06 18:24 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.004 | $7.00 |
| 04-06 18:22 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? | SELL | 0.0264272599 | $7.14 |
| 03-22 21:26 | Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027? | BUY | 0.2688172043 | $18.50 |
| 03-22 21:25 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | BUY | 0.35 | $35.00 |
| 03-22 17:55 | Starmer out by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $35.00 |
| 03-22 17:51 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.0986960949 | $50.00 |
| 01-19 21:01 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BUY | 0.2 | $9.00 |
| 01-19 20:48 | US civil war before 2027? | BUY | 0.1099999685 | $3.00 |