PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x39c9ae461fb40e67d9a89a162bacc9477bb2ddeb

Realised P&L
$-233.00
Volume
$19.2k
Markets traded
9
Open portfolio
$2.53

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded9
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration55.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.2000.031$1.40$7.61
Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.2690.017$1.14$17.36
US civil war before 2027? · Yes0.1080.000$0.00$89.25
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$7.00
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes0.0990.000$0.00$23.34
US forces enter Iran by April 30? · No0.0040.000$0.00$59.99
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-08 07:07US forces enter Iran by April 30?BUY0.002$8.00
04-07 16:42US forces enter Iran by April 30?BUY0.004$25.00
04-07 16:41US strike on Cuba by December 31?SELL0.34$34.00
04-06 22:17Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?BUY0.07$7.00
04-06 18:32US forces enter Iran by April 30?BUY0.004$20.00
04-06 18:29Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?BUY0.0699999939$10.00
04-06 18:25Starmer out by April 30, 2026?SELL0.985$37.07
04-06 18:24US forces enter Iran by April 30?BUY0.004$7.00
04-06 18:22Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?SELL0.0264272599$7.14
03-22 21:26Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027?BUY0.2688172043$18.50
03-22 21:25US strike on Cuba by December 31?BUY0.35$35.00
03-22 17:55Starmer out by April 30, 2026?BUY0.93$35.00
03-22 17:51Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.0986960949$50.00
01-19 21:01Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?BUY0.2$9.00
01-19 20:48US civil war before 2027?BUY0.1099999685$3.00