0x39c3a0ece9755e1a177c030f8e02c040ad8940e7
0x39c3a0ece9755e1a177c030f8e02c040ad8940e7
- Realised P&L
- $0.80
- Volume
- $11.30
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $4.87
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar7.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $510 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.620 | $1.82 | +$0.82 |
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $345 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.720 | 0.710 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Trump say "Epic Fury" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.405 | $0.92 | −$0.08 |
| Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $115 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.760 | 0.490 | $0.64 | −$0.36 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · No | 0.640 | 0.315 | $0.49 | −$0.51 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.80at 0.562Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 04:10 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $345 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 20:10 | Will Trump say "Epic Fury" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 12:00 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $115 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 04:00 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $510 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 19:59 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 11:43 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |