Verysillyman
0x39aa34f889437443184ed8307fcc4e5f2454925d
- Realised P&L
- $-179.00
- Volume
- $11.9k
- Markets traded
- 119
- Open portfolio
- $38.22
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded119
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$85.30at 0.548Dogecoin Up or Down on May 5?
- +$24.48at 0.310Ankalaev vs. Pereira
- +$10.99at 0.319Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
- +$10.68at 0.495Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 18?
- +$6.04at 0.240Dodgers vs. Blue Jays
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 23:40 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2099999983 | $5.00 |
| 09-13 05:19 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $9.35 |
| 09-13 05:15 | Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.34 | $3.40 |
| 09-06 19:46 | Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.3546468928 | $4.74 |
| 09-06 19:46 | Will LAB reach $24 before 2027? | BUY | 0.9699999981 | $5.00 |
| 08-23 15:20 | Anthropic IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.8799999859 | $5.00 |
| 08-12 00:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 12? | BUY | 0.529999965 | $5.00 |
| 08-10 14:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 10? | BUY | 0.0589999706 | $2.00 |
| 07-19 19:09 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4199999832 | $5.00 |
| 07-19 02:35 | UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.6799999728 | $5.00 |
| 07-17 15:15 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.6499999675 | $5.00 |
| 07-12 03:37 | UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.289999964 | $5.00 |
| 07-12 03:04 | UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.549999956 | $5.00 |
| 06-23 15:16 | Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 23? | BUY | 0.8389999987 | $5.00 |
| 06-22 14:43 | Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 22? | BUY | 0.203720076 | $5.00 |