PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

58dgfd

0x39a2f79fc642ce5a5dd24aea678025adb96796e2

Realised P&L
$-4.79
Volume
$141.6k
Markets traded
268
Open portfolio
$93.90

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded268
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration57.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration5.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? · No0.5100.948$4.75+$2.19
Will Ethena reach $0.40 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1190.115$4.69$0.18
Decibel FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes0.4080.365$4.45$0.53
Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4440.535$4.44+$0.75
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix? · No0.7701.000$4.35+$1.00
Will Bruno Fernandes score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · No0.3231.000$4.19+$2.84
Will Natus Vincere make a roster change before July? · No0.1101.000$4.16+$3.70
Decibel FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No0.7800.810$4.05+$0.15
Egypt leading at halftime? · No0.6401.000$4.00+$1.44
Will CryptoPunks floor price reach 50 ETH before 2027? · Yes0.1030.125$3.92+$0.68
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 3.5 · Over0.2171.000$3.83+$3.00
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index dip to 35 by June 30? · No0.0901.000$3.72+$3.39
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $105 in June? · Yes0.2501.000$3.02+$2.27
Spread: Argentina (-1.5) · Argentina0.3301.000$2.94+$1.97
Will Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? · No0.5701.000$2.92+$1.26

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-04 23:07Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?SELL0.32$1.95
08-13 13:40Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?SELL0.015$0.49
08-13 07:45Will Christian Walker win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award?SELL0.005$0.05
08-12 22:19Will Christian Walker win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award?SELL0.005$0.04
08-12 08:03Will Christian Walker win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award?SELL0.005$0.04
08-12 06:54Will Christian Walker win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award?SELL0.005$0.03
08-11 12:25Will Christian Walker win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award?SELL0.005$0.05
08-11 01:44Will Christian Walker win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award?SELL0.005$0.06
08-08 13:33Will Christian Walker win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award?SELL0.004$0.03
08-08 12:14Will Christian Walker win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award?SELL0.005$0.04
08-08 07:06Will Christian Walker win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award?SELL0.004$0.03
08-08 05:57Will Christian Walker win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award?SELL0.005$0.04
08-08 04:26Will Christian Walker win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award?SELL0.005$0.04
08-08 02:28Tread FDV above $500M one day after launchSELL0.02$0.52
08-07 22:38Will Christian Walker win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award?SELL0.005$0.05