scapeccio
0x39a0e4afb9a24be6588b998101ffe1cee1fc00a6
- Realised P&L
- $-564.07
- Volume
- $128.2k
- Markets traded
- 565
- Open portfolio
- $246.34
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded565
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.910 | 0.921 | $50.59 | +$0.58 |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Matteo Arnaldi · Carlos Alcaraz | 0.950 | 0.915 | $48.35 | −$1.85 |
| Will Frances Tiafoe Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.770 | $48.13 | −$1.88 |
| Will Flavio Cobolli Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026? · Yes | 0.939 | 0.862 | $40.17 | −$3.61 |
| Will Carlos Alcaraz Qualify for the Nitto ATP Finals 2026? · Yes | 0.957 | 0.965 | $31.27 | +$0.26 |
| China Open: Alexander Zverev vs Juncheng Shang · Alexander Zverev | 0.920 | 0.905 | $24.72 | −$0.41 |
| China Open: Yunchaokete Bu vs Novak Djokovic · Novak Djokovic | 0.760 | 0.395 | $3.12 | −$2.88 |
| China Open: Karen Khachanov vs Felix Auger-Aliassime · Felix Auger-Aliassime | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$139.47at 0.128Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$46.98at 0.680Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
- +$42.53at 0.702Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
- +$36.36at 0.733Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
- +$32.16at 0.757Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 23:10 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Matteo Arnaldi | BUY | 0.95 | $25.10 |
| 10-01 20:04 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Matteo Arnaldi | BUY | 0.95 | $25.10 |
| 10-01 19:59 | China Open: Alexander Zverev vs Juncheng Shang | BUY | 0.92 | $25.13 |
| 10-01 11:12 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoe | BUY | 0.699999993 | $10.00 |
| 10-01 08:08 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex Michelsen | BUY | 0.7399999894 | $9.74 |
| 10-01 08:08 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex Michelsen | BUY | 0.75 | $10.00 |
| 10-01 08:08 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex Michelsen | BUY | 0.75 | $10.00 |
| 10-01 01:34 | China Open: Yunchaokete Bu vs Novak Djokovic | BUY | 0.7599999848 | $6.00 |
| 09-29 22:24 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex Michelsen | BUY | 0.83 | $25.12 |
| 09-29 22:08 | China Open: Karen Khachanov vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | BUY | 0.5899999841 | $10.00 |
| 09-29 22:07 | China Open: Karen Khachanov vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | BUY | 0.5899999841 | $10.00 |
| 09-29 22:06 | China Open: Nuno Borges vs Novak Djokovic | BUY | 0.6899999781 | $6.00 |
| 09-29 22:06 | China Open: Karen Khachanov vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | BUY | 0.5899999841 | $10.00 |
| 09-29 21:31 | China Open: Alexander Zverev vs Cameron Norrie | BUY | 0.89 | $25.11 |
| 09-29 17:06 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alex Michelsen | BUY | 0.84 | $25.15 |