0x399b57a7ab04514d52b5b113077479eb2cd069a6
0x399b57a7ab04514d52b5b113077479eb2cd069a6
- Realised P&L
- $-651.08
- Volume
- $13.4k
- Markets traded
- 60
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded60
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration90.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTA VI released by November 30? · Yes | 0.966 | 0.966 | $1.0k | +$0.46 |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? · Yes | 0.930 | 0.998 | $107.01 | +$7.29 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$43.38at 0.945Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 26, 2026?
- +$33.44at 0.442Shanghai Rolex Masters: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Alcaraz
- +$25.24at 0.452National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Brandon Nakashima
- +$19.60at 0.951Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
- +$17.92at 0.791Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 17:25 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.93 | $99.72 |
| 11-01 14:54 | Set 1 Winner: Jiri Lehecka vs Valentin Vacherot | BUY | 0.92 | $29.88 |
| 11-01 12:17 | Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Benjamin Bonzi vs Yannick Hanfmann | BUY | 0.569999958 | $4.89 |
| 11-01 10:49 | Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Mattia Bellucci | BUY | 0.1299999851 | $1.05 |
| 11-01 10:49 | Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Vit Kopriva | BUY | 0.3099999854 | $1.06 |
| 10-30 10:54 | Another crypto hack over $100m by October 31? | BUY | 0.9959750931 | $399.88 |
| 10-28 11:44 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.95094995 | $380.00 |
| 10-27 16:28 | Swiss Indoors Basel: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Arthur Fils | BUY | 0.8599999946 | $99.30 |
| 10-23 23:01 | Lyon Open: Luca Van Assche vs Lorenzo Musetti | BUY | 0.3905570257 | $157.22 |
| 10-23 22:59 | Lyon Open: Luca Van Assche vs Lorenzo Musetti | BUY | 0.45 | $211.64 |
| 10-23 22:45 | Lyon Open: Luca Van Assche vs Lorenzo Musetti | SELL | 0.46 | $345.74 |
| 10-23 22:40 | Lyon Open: Luca Van Assche vs Lorenzo Musetti | BUY | 0.7899999999 | $593.76 |
| 10-23 22:37 | Lyon Open: Luca Van Assche vs Lorenzo Musetti | SELL | 0.78 | $632.55 |
| 10-23 22:31 | Lyon Open: Luca Van Assche vs Lorenzo Musetti | BUY | 0.7299999998 | $592.00 |
| 10-23 22:16 | Lyon Open: Luca Van Assche vs Lorenzo Musetti | SELL | 0.21 | $43.21 |