Gfrancog
0x39982ad93b7d388b3fc5b68ef41edb27cea942a3
- Realised P&L
- $-461.33
- Volume
- $353.3k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $309.71
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration67.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)47.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.027 | 0.041 | $202.96 | +$66.21 |
| Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.003 | $106.76 | +$0.20 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET · Up | 0.127 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Will Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw? · Yes | 0.022 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-08-26? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$43.67 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET · Down | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.85 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$76.49at 0.121Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
- +$15.09at 0.408Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
- +$11.13at 0.482Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
- +$5.21at 0.512Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$2.57at 0.666Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 22:52 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.030350438 | $68.87 |
| 09-11 22:52 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.163 | $73.13 |
| 09-11 22:51 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0299843065 | $11.33 |
| 09-11 22:50 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.007 | $10.00 |
| 09-11 22:50 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.8 | $14.91 |
| 09-11 22:45 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.029210549 | $30.50 |
| 09-11 22:33 | Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.001 | $40.00 |
| 08-28 19:26 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5 | $9.32 |
| 08-26 20:58 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.004 | $7.85 |
| 08-26 20:38 | Will Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw? | BUY | 0.0218535811 | $10.00 |
| 08-26 20:38 | Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-08-26? | BUY | 0.002 | $10.00 |
| 08-26 19:52 | Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-08-26? | BUY | 0.078999998 | $33.68 |
| 08-24 16:01 | Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.003 | $96.39 |
| 08-23 20:02 | Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0028719789 | $25.16 |
| 08-23 20:01 | Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.001 | $6.06 |