PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Gfrancog

0x39982ad93b7d388b3fc5b68ef41edb27cea942a3

Realised P&L
$-461.33
Volume
$353.3k
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$309.71

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration67.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)47.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration65.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0270.041$202.96+$66.21
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0020.003$106.76+$0.20
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET · Up0.1270.000$0.00$25.00
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00$10.00
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-08-26? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00$43.67
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET · Down0.3000.000$0.00$5.00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$17.85

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-11 22:52Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.030350438$68.87
09-11 22:52Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.163$73.13
09-11 22:51Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.0299843065$11.33
09-11 22:50Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.007$10.00
09-11 22:50Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.8$14.91
09-11 22:45Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.029210549$30.50
09-11 22:33Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.001$40.00
08-28 19:26Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.5$9.32
08-26 20:58Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.004$7.85
08-26 20:38Will Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?BUY0.0218535811$10.00
08-26 20:38Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-08-26?BUY0.002$10.00
08-26 19:52Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-08-26?BUY0.078999998$33.68
08-24 16:01Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.003$96.39
08-23 20:02Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.0028719789$25.16
08-23 20:01Will Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.001$6.06