NeverLoseBet
0x3990e456f5a7e80368219ec137f57974f5143401
- Realised P&L
- $-50.3k
- Volume
- $122.2k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $2.4k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-41.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration99.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Counter-Strike: NIP vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winner · NIP | 0.480 | 1.000 | $2.4k | +$1.2k |
| Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner · Xtreme Gaming | 0.620 | 0.011 | $0.02 | −$0.86 |
| Dota 2: GamerLegion vs 1win - Game 1 Winner · 1win | 0.619 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.4k |
| Dota 2: GamerLegion vs 1win (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs · 1win | 0.657 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.6k |
| Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs · Team Nemesis | 0.308 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.9k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$884.15at 0.779Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)
- +$7.07at 0.760Dota 2: Aurora vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs
- +$-0.02at 0.971US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?
- +$-227.14at 0.218Spread: Minnesota Twins (-2.5)
- +$-1.2kat 0.622Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Group C
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 13:54 | Counter-Strike: NIP vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winner | BUY | 0.48 | $1.2k |
| 09-25 11:51 | Dota 2: GamerLegion vs 1win (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs | SELL | 0.43 | $47.73 |
| 09-25 09:34 | Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs | BUY | 0.2999200696 | $1.1k |
| 09-25 09:33 | Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs | BUY | 0.31 | $57.58 |
| 09-24 12:58 | Dota 2: Aurora vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs | SELL | 0.78 | $3.90 |
| 09-24 11:35 | Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs | BUY | 0.58 | $3.6k |
| 09-24 04:26 | Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5) | BUY | 0.77 | $3.1k |
| 09-24 03:59 | Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5 | BUY | 0.45 | $40.50 |
| 09-24 03:57 | Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5 | BUY | 0.46 | $401.12 |
| 09-24 03:57 | Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5 | BUY | 0.4493930106 | $4.6k |
| 09-23 09:06 | Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Phantom (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat II Group C | BUY | 0.61 | $1.2k |
| 09-23 04:01 | Spread: Minnesota Twins (-2.5) | BUY | 0.21 | $218.40 |
| 09-23 02:30 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? | SELL | 0.967 | $4.97 |
| 09-23 02:30 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? | BUY | 0.9709999981 | $5.00 |