bettioponomik
0x398effc0e83d4d9de57765ded19d34f26c533752
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $72.0k
- Markets traded
- 539
- Open portfolio
- $0.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded539
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration3.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Nothin'Here vs essences - Game 3 Winner · Nothin'Here | 0.007 | 0.001 | $0.07 | −$0.93 |
| LoL: Maryville University vs Disguised - Game 2 Winner · Maryville University | 0.021 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| LoL: Team WE vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winner · Team WE | 0.025 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| LoL: HANJIN BRION vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner · LGD Gaming | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| LoL: Team WE vs FlyQuest - Game 3 Winner · FlyQuest | 0.030 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| LoL: SK Gaming Avarosa vs Blue Otter Europe - Game 1 Winner · Blue Otter Europe | 0.044 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| LoL: Team WE vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winner · FlyQuest | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$309.07at 0.088Will the US strike Syria next?
- +$60.19at 0.683Will Solana dip to $110 in March?
- +$47.82at 0.576Will ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 21?
- +$41.99at 0.811Will Freecash - Get Paid Real Money be the #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?
- +$38.61at 0.789Israel retaliates against Houthis in March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 14:22 | LoL: Nothin'Here vs essences - Game 3 Winner | BUY | 0.0073327895 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 14:06 | LoL: HANJIN BRION vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 08:25 | LoL: Team WE vs FlyQuest - Game 3 Winner | BUY | 0.0299999994 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 07:31 | LoL: Team WE vs FlyQuest - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 06:34 | LoL: Team WE vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.025 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 00:54 | LoL: Maryville University vs Disguised - Game 3 Winner | BUY | 0.02 | $2.00 |
| 10-13 00:07 | LoL: Maryville University vs Disguised - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.0214987714 | $2.00 |
| 10-12 23:28 | LoL: Maryville University vs Disguised - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.0221149238 | $2.00 |
| 10-12 22:26 | LoL: LOS vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.02 | $2.00 |
| 10-12 19:26 | LoL: G2 HEL vs AZ Rising Eterna - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.0091540722 | $2.00 |
| 10-12 18:30 | LoL: G2 HEL vs AZ Rising Eterna - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.0365396912 | $2.00 |
| 10-12 17:30 | LoL: SK Gaming Avarosa vs Blue Otter Europe (BO3) - LGC Rising Playoffs | BUY | 0.0299999999 | $2.00 |
| 10-12 16:36 | LoL: SK Gaming Avarosa vs Blue Otter Europe - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.0443766468 | $2.00 |
| 10-12 14:37 | LoL: West Point Esports PH vs essences - Game 3 Winner | BUY | 0.0396664771 | $2.00 |
| 10-12 13:41 | LoL: West Point Esports PH vs essences - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.054496973 | $2.00 |