mm0005
0x398db343770ec1f49bcf4b7da5a582f4b1cfc650
- Realised P&L
- $-788.32
- Volume
- $6.8k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $102.43
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-11.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration39.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.067 | $77.75 | −$339.54 |
| Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.055 | $24.68 | −$87.51 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$79.28at 0.810Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?
- +$28.18at 0.949Ethereum all time high by January 31?
- +$20.21at 0.914Will the price of XRP be above $2.30 on October 24?
- +$19.69at 0.811Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?
- +$17.34at 0.967Ethereum all time high in 2024?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-12 03:39 | Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.25 | $112.19 |
| 04-05 02:57 | Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.971 | $119.69 |
| 03-12 06:00 | Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.359604741 | $417.29 |
| 11-06 12:59 | Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025? | BUY | 0.8099999998 | $338.00 |
| 10-28 02:24 | Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October? | BUY | 0.9549999994 | $234.34 |
| 10-24 02:44 | Will the price of XRP be above $2.30 on October 24? | BUY | 0.9137396963 | $214.12 |
| 10-10 09:05 | Will Ethereum reach $6000 in October? | BUY | 0.96 | $88.92 |
| 10-10 09:01 | Will Base launch a token in 2025? | BUY | 0.0982030741 | $10.00 |
| 10-10 09:00 | Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8112907928 | $100.00 |
| 10-10 08:58 | Yieldbasis FDV above $3B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9340222573 | $200.00 |
| 02-10 13:40 | Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by February 28, 2025? | BUY | 0.5 | $15.10 |
| 02-10 13:03 | OpenSea airdrop before April? | SELL | 0.0151320524 | $15.10 |
| 02-01 13:12 | OpenSea airdrop before April? | BUY | 0.5547558877 | $553.49 |
| 01-01 13:26 | Ethereum all time high by January 31? | BUY | 0.949096649 | $525.32 |
| 12-21 04:36 | Ethereum all time high in 2024? | BUY | 0.9669999999 | $507.98 |