trompowskuy
0x3989b47c4c222406994ab49e542bb7d7d29caa16
- Realised P&L
- $-321.51
- Volume
- $50.5k
- Markets traded
- 6,655
- Open portfolio
- $0.68
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded6,655
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration5.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 17? · Yes | 0.067 | 0.045 | $0.68 | −$0.32 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 11? · Yes | 0.850 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.30 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on October 14? · No | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$279.20at 0.002Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 8AM ET
- +$11.04at 0.548Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
- +$9.92at 0.588Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
- +$9.59at 0.606Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
- +$9.52at 0.598Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 12:05 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.0666666667 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 14:04 | Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 01:19 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.7099999167 | $2.30 |
| 10-11 14:18 | Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.8499999346 | $1.30 |
| 10-11 12:15 | Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.5499998519 | $1.30 |
| 10-10 12:09 | Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 00:13 | Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 05:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET | BUY | 0.5499999147 | $2.58 |
| 09-25 05:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET | BUY | 0.5299999659 | $2.02 |
| 09-25 05:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET | BUY | 0.6799999398 | $2.71 |
| 09-25 04:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET | SELL | 0.95 | $2.75 |
| 09-25 04:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET | BUY | 0.7599999447 | $2.75 |
| 09-25 04:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET | SELL | 0.83 | $2.69 |
| 09-25 04:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET | BUY | 0.6799999407 | $2.75 |
| 09-25 04:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET | SELL | 0.82 | $2.10 |