4frgs3sdh
0x3987ebce01948a9291a768d0725b2829f348621e
- Realised P&L
- $30.95
- Volume
- $11.4k
- Markets traded
- 61
- Open portfolio
- $44.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded61
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will BNB reach $1,200 in October? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $44.98 | −$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.00at 0.920Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?
- +$22.70at 0.946Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
- +$19.29at 0.330Bitcoin all time high by January 31?
- +$4.52at 0.957Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?
- +$3.61at 0.988Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 12:14 | Will BNB reach $1,200 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $45.00 |
| 09-07 13:46 | Trump out as President by September 30? | BUY | 0.9909999999 | $45.00 |
| 09-07 13:45 | Will Ravenna da Inclusão win the 2026 Piauí gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.00 |
| 08-20 10:22 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.00 |
| 08-20 10:21 | Will XRP reach $3.00 in August? | BUY | 0.9985040359 | $12.00 |
| 08-18 09:03 | Trump out as President by August 31? | BUY | 0.997 | $86.00 |
| 07-07 07:52 | Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $173.00 |
| 07-07 07:51 | Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $150.00 |
| 06-22 09:21 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $158.00 |
| 06-06 08:51 | Will Khamenei post 35-39 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.9983494615 | $155.00 |
| 05-28 06:02 | Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on May 28? | BUY | 0.998 | $75.00 |
| 05-18 18:13 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | BUY | 0.9849999951 | $185.50 |
| 05-18 18:12 | Will Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in May? | BUY | 0.974123289 | $50.00 |
| 05-07 06:40 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in May? | BUY | 0.9979999937 | $70.00 |
| 05-07 06:39 | Will Zelenskyy post 200+ posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.9989999973 | $270.00 |