Jonny88
0x3987e1b2dfd28059e2e6e2212938ae7c336f092e
- Realised P&L
- $1.2k
- Volume
- $60.8k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $2.4k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration66.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · No | 0.764 | 0.765 | $807.84 | +$1.36 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · Yes | 0.516 | 0.235 | $611.00 | −$730.99 |
| Will Fabio Roscioli win the next Reggio di Calabria by-election? · Yes | 0.880 | 0.905 | $370.32 | +$10.32 |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? · Yes | 0.755 | 0.718 | $189.93 | −$10.07 |
| Will Eduardo Braga win the most votes in the 2026 Amazonas Senate election? · Yes | 0.764 | 0.715 | $187.23 | −$12.77 |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amazonas? · Yes | 0.756 | 0.695 | $183.96 | −$16.04 |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.014 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$299.36 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.1kat 0.532Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
- +$759.08at 0.514Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
- +$329.99at 0.835Will PAM win the next Moroccan legislative elections?
- +$-54.19at 0.155Will a new Cabinet of the Netherlands be sworn in by December 31, 2025?
- +$-163.62at 0.062Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 19:39 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.78 | $152.88 |
| 09-24 11:27 | Will Fabio Roscioli win the next Reggio di Calabria by-election? | BUY | 0.8797890699 | $360.00 |
| 09-23 20:37 | Will PAM win the next Moroccan legislative elections? | BUY | 0.9 | $208.00 |
| 09-22 21:13 | Will Eduardo Braga win the most votes in the 2026 Amazonas Senate election? | BUY | 0.7637571753 | $200.00 |
| 09-22 21:12 | Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amazonas? | BUY | 0.7556174176 | $200.00 |
| 09-22 21:11 | Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.7555377242 | $200.00 |
| 09-22 21:07 | Will PAM win the next Moroccan legislative elections? | BUY | 0.8706313105 | $500.00 |
| 06-04 12:13 | Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.019 | $199.50 |
| 05-16 23:03 | Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $4.6k |
| 05-16 22:50 | Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.3719999995 | $387.98 |
| 05-16 22:44 | Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.5293921295 | $1000.00 |
| 05-16 22:39 | Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.6030838319 | $1000.00 |
| 12-30 12:49 | Will a new Cabinet of the Netherlands be sworn in by December 31, 2025? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.81 |
| 10-30 07:30 | Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.0619772767 | $193.60 |
| 10-30 03:16 | Will Democrats 66 win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.9646605582 | $1.6k |