NIKKO
0x3978c221d67ccf4a08d0efc772ab3c09e32d4309
- Realised P&L
- $4.5k
- Volume
- $87.9k
- Markets traded
- 72
- Open portfolio
- $819.89
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded72
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.0kat 0.750Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
- +$933.06at 0.912Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
- +$905.27at 0.834US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
- +$769.23at 0.823Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
- +$201.01at 0.861Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 15:57 | Will Onyeka Oshionwu win the next Göttingen mayoral election? | BUY | 0.929 | $46.45 |
| 09-23 20:59 | Will PAM win the next Moroccan legislative elections? | BUY | 0.09299 | $0.93 |
| 09-21 14:36 | Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.49 |
| 09-21 10:53 | Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold? | SELL | 0.96 | $95.99 |
| 09-20 19:52 | Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold? | BUY | 0.81 | $81.00 |
| 09-20 19:49 | Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold? | BUY | 0.81 | $81.00 |
| 09-20 08:34 | Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.289 | $6.59 |
| 09-18 16:27 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.49 | $4.90 |
| 09-18 04:06 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $8.60 |
| 09-18 04:05 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 20:18 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.59 | $8.85 |
| 09-16 18:08 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $26.40 |
| 09-16 16:05 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8099999899 | $60.00 |
| 09-15 23:20 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.57 | $45.00 |
| 08-10 15:37 | Yabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17? | SELL | 0.1603003093 | $53.38 |