PolyBot

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Traders

NIKKO

0x3978c221d67ccf4a08d0efc772ab3c09e32d4309

Realised P&L
$4.5k
Volume
$87.9k
Markets traded
72
Open portfolio
$819.89

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar5.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded72
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? · Yes0.9370.959$337.35+$7.44
Will Onyeka Oshionwu win the next Göttingen mayoral election? · Yes0.9080.951$83.17+$3.71
Will Katharina Pötter win the next Osnabrück mayoral election? · Yes0.9100.958$73.73+$3.66
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.2890.295$71.34+$1.35
Will Łukasz Gibała win the 2026 Kraków mayoral election? · Yes0.8300.835$62.88+$0.39
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.5700.615$48.55+$3.55
Will Fabio Roscioli win the next Reggio di Calabria by-election? · Yes0.8900.905$45.25+$0.75
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.5740.568$31.51−$0.34
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0240.028$17.57+$2.24
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.8700.865$16.99−$0.10
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · No0.3990.397$15.90−$0.10
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0230.024$15.65+$0.33
Will "MINOTAUR by Andrey ZVYAGINTSEV" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival? · Yes0.5580.000$0.00−$278.98
Will Keiko Fujimori win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by less than 5%? · Yes0.2280.000$0.00−$24.19
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 80% and 85%? · Yes0.0790.000$0.00−$130.57

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 15:57Will Onyeka Oshionwu win the next Göttingen mayoral election?BUY0.929$46.45
09-23 20:59Will PAM win the next Moroccan legislative elections?BUY0.09299$0.93
09-21 14:36Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.002$0.49
09-21 10:53Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold?SELL0.96$95.99
09-20 19:52Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold?BUY0.81$81.00
09-20 19:49Russia Elections: A Just Russia (SR) Clears Duma Threshold?BUY0.81$81.00
09-20 08:34Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.289$6.59
09-18 16:27Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?BUY0.49$4.90
09-18 04:06Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?BUY0.86$8.60
09-18 04:05Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?BUY0.5$5.00
09-17 20:18Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?BUY0.59$8.85
09-16 18:08Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before October 31, 2026?BUY0.88$26.40
09-16 16:05Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?BUY0.8099999899$60.00
09-15 23:202026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.57$45.00
08-10 15:37Yabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17?SELL0.1603003093$53.38