PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

teresamorales

0x3967ce2afbd602cb7b42bdedf241360c4a099749

Realised P&L
$-23.77
Volume
$11.8k
Markets traded
81
Open portfolio
$73.12

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded81
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration77.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration64.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will CAQ finish in second place in the Quebec general election? · No0.6000.795$47.15+$11.56
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 22? · No0.7400.945$17.08+$3.70
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $160 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes0.5500.230$8.89$12.37

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 04:06Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $382.50 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.8399999954$22.10
01-31 13:55Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?BUY0.995$11.06
01-30 17:15Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,475-$4,600 in January?BUY0.9969999226$6.92
01-30 16:09Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?BUY0.998$11.91
01-30 14:17Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of January?BUY0.9989999642$21.22
01-30 12:38Will Opendoor dip to $2.50 in January?BUY0.998$48.02
12-30 09:45Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?BUY0.999$7.81
12-30 09:20Will Trump pardon Elon Musk in 2025?BUY0.999$29.38
12-29 23:13Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY0.999$19.97
12-29 20:08Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY0.999$34.09
10-31 15:25Will Z.ai have the second best AI model on October 31?BUY0.9969999999$13.14
10-30 20:32Will Anthropic have the second best AI model on October 31?BUY0.999$29.41
09-29 17:02Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?BUY0.9989999658$19.32
09-29 09:15Will XRP reach $4.00 in September?BUY0.999$11.86
09-29 04:56Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in September?BUY0.999$16.72