teresamorales
0x3967ce2afbd602cb7b42bdedf241360c4a099749
- Realised P&L
- $-23.77
- Volume
- $11.8k
- Markets traded
- 81
- Open portfolio
- $73.12
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded81
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration77.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will CAQ finish in second place in the Quebec general election? · No | 0.600 | 0.795 | $47.15 | +$11.56 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on September 22? · No | 0.740 | 0.945 | $17.08 | +$3.70 |
| Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $160 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.230 | $8.89 | −$12.37 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.07at 0.845Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $382.50 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$0.21at 0.980Will McDonald's worker get reward money before April?
- +$0.13at 0.993Will Bitcoin reach $110k in April?
- +$0.10at 0.998Will Opendoor dip to $2.50 in January?
- +$0.09at 0.989Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 04:06 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $382.50 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.8399999954 | $22.10 |
| 01-31 13:55 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January? | BUY | 0.995 | $11.06 |
| 01-30 17:15 | Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,475-$4,600 in January? | BUY | 0.9969999226 | $6.92 |
| 01-30 16:09 | Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.998 | $11.91 |
| 01-30 14:17 | Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of January? | BUY | 0.9989999642 | $21.22 |
| 01-30 12:38 | Will Opendoor dip to $2.50 in January? | BUY | 0.998 | $48.02 |
| 12-30 09:45 | Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $7.81 |
| 12-30 09:20 | Will Trump pardon Elon Musk in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $29.38 |
| 12-29 23:13 | Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.97 |
| 12-29 20:08 | Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $34.09 |
| 10-31 15:25 | Will Z.ai have the second best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $13.14 |
| 10-30 20:32 | Will Anthropic have the second best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $29.41 |
| 09-29 17:02 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October? | BUY | 0.9989999658 | $19.32 |
| 09-29 09:15 | Will XRP reach $4.00 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.86 |
| 09-29 04:56 | Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $16.72 |