0x39631f6dC4Aa82733b109121456FDA7e20167940-1768043197539
0x39631f6dc4aa82733b109121456fda7e20167940
- Realised P&L
- $-18.10
- Volume
- $4.2k
- Markets traded
- 139
- Open portfolio
- $30.16
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded139
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.45at 0.462Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-20?
- +$8.74at 0.310Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 1?
- +$7.22at 0.109Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 31?
- +$6.66at 0.375Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
- +$6.47at 0.250Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 16:00 | Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.3399999975 | $18.76 |
| 09-17 17:07 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.4499999871 | $8.75 |
| 09-14 07:36 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-15? | BUY | 0.5399999712 | $4.87 |
| 09-07 13:27 | Will DPR Korea win on 2026-09-07? | SELL | 0.0274789916 | $0.65 |
| 09-07 08:19 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.6409999895 | $20.00 |
| 09-07 08:18 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.5199999813 | $10.00 |
| 09-07 08:07 | Will DPR Korea win on 2026-09-07? | BUY | 0.209999974 | $5.00 |
| 07-11 11:01 | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | SELL | 0.5 | $134.72 |
| 07-11 11:00 | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.509999998 | $115.00 |
| 06-04 15:30 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.251 | $2.02 |
| 02-17 17:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET | SELL | 0.14 | $0.96 |
| 02-17 17:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET | BUY | 0.4299999298 | $2.91 |
| 02-17 17:29 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.276 | $2.76 |
| 02-17 17:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET | SELL | 0.02 | $0.17 |
| 02-17 17:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET | BUY | 0.4599999471 | $3.88 |