0x395e25a0487ebD744BCbf66188db0A5884e9Da9F-1781297346225
0x395e25a0487ebd744bcbf66188db0a5884e9da9f
- Realised P&L
- $-13.11
- Volume
- $3.4k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $2.30
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration77.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration91.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.39at 0.296Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?
- +$0.35at 0.440Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
- +$0.14at 0.580Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
- +$0.11at 0.184Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?
- +$0.10at 0.390US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-14 21:34 | Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | SELL | 0.17 | $0.38 |
| 06-14 21:31 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | BUY | 0.8099996274 | $1.00 |
| 06-14 21:31 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | BUY | 0.8099996274 | $1.00 |
| 06-14 21:24 | Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30? | SELL | 0.66 | $1.14 |
| 06-14 21:17 | Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | BUY | 0.4499997975 | $1.00 |
| 06-14 18:57 | Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam? | SELL | 0.896 | $1.00 |
| 06-14 18:31 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | BUY | 0.459999885 | $2.00 |
| 06-14 00:06 | Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | SELL | 0.99 | $3.41 |
| 06-13 22:45 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | BUY | 0.4699998919 | $2.00 |
| 06-13 22:40 | Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? | SELL | 0.6 | $1.39 |
| 06-13 22:40 | Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | SELL | 0.21 | $1.17 |
| 06-13 22:12 | Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2899998666 | $1.00 |
| 06-13 22:11 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | SELL | 0.43 | $1.10 |
| 06-12 21:20 | Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | BUY | 0.29999982 | $1.00 |
| 06-12 21:19 | Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |