PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x395e25a0487ebD744BCbf66188db0A5884e9Da9F-1781297346225

0x395e25a0487ebd744bcbf66188db0a5884e9da9f

Realised P&L
$-13.11
Volume
$3.4k
Markets traded
20
Open portfolio
$2.30

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded20
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration77.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration91.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.2650.556$2.10+$1.10
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31? · Yes0.2000.040$0.20$0.80
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.4700.000$0.00$2.00
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? · No0.0100.000$0.00$1.00
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00$1.00
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? · Yes0.5870.000$0.00$4.00
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00$2.00
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$1.00
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$1.00
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $200 and $250? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$1.00
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-14 21:34Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?SELL0.17$0.38
06-14 21:31Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?BUY0.8099996274$1.00
06-14 21:31Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?BUY0.8099996274$1.00
06-14 21:24Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?SELL0.66$1.14
06-14 21:17Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?BUY0.4499997975$1.00
06-14 18:57Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?SELL0.896$1.00
06-14 18:31Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?BUY0.459999885$2.00
06-14 00:06Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?SELL0.99$3.41
06-13 22:45Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?BUY0.4699998919$2.00
06-13 22:40Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?SELL0.6$1.39
06-13 22:40Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?SELL0.21$1.17
06-13 22:12Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?BUY0.2899998666$1.00
06-13 22:11US strike on Cuba by December 31?SELL0.43$1.10
06-12 21:20Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw?BUY0.29999982$1.00
06-12 21:19Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31?BUY0.2$1.00