0x395bb3d63f88b396031dab7811fa6b36da4a0807
0x395bb3d63f88b396031dab7811fa6b36da4a0807
- Realised P&L
- $-5.65
- Volume
- $270.15
- Markets traded
- 52
- Open portfolio
- $4.40
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded52
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample49 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)51.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 Week of September 28 2026? · No | 0.220 | 0.575 | $2.61 | +$1.61 |
| Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $328 Week of September 28 2026? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.370 | $1.76 | +$0.76 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.005 | $0.02 | −$0.98 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.82at 0.288WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on August 31?
- +$4.87at 0.320US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
- +$4.80at 0.329Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $145 Week of August 17 2026?
- +$4.59at 0.339Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $360 Week of August 17 2026?
- +$3.90at 0.370US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 20:02 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 12:01 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $328 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 02:52 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in September? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 18:43 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $64 in September? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 07:04 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 05:08 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on September 25? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 19:12 | Will Costco say "Spending" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.9399999624 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 11:02 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 14:13 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999835 | $2.29 |
| 09-21 06:09 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $63 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999804 | $2.29 |
| 09-20 21:38 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $480 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.6499999858 | $2.29 |
| 09-19 07:27 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.3699999515 | $2.29 |
| 09-18 13:55 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 18? | BUY | 0.4099999893 | $2.29 |
| 09-15 03:38 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $61 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.29 |
| 09-14 06:51 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $510 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $2.29 |