Zbigniew
0x395aa96742d5a520a1cd0fbb6a2d9ba8af617384
- Realised P&L
- $3.0k
- Volume
- $24.1k
- Markets traded
- 93
- Open portfolio
- $2.4k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar12.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded93
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.031Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
- +$838.05at 0.269Will Linke win less than 9% of all valid second votes?
- +$198.89at 0.686Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
- +$198.25at 0.689Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?
- +$140.99at 0.128Will Grüne win at least 7% of all valid second votes?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 07:51 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026 | BUY | 0.0699999994 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 05:57 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.5999999988 | $100.00 |
| 09-18 04:51 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.0619999971 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 22:00 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | SELL | 0.6 | $90.00 |
| 09-17 21:57 | Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.4 | $300.00 |
| 09-16 11:07 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.589999998 | $100.00 |
| 09-16 11:06 | Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.3 | $7.50 |
| 09-16 10:59 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | SELL | 0.76 | $76.00 |
| 09-16 05:15 | Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.16 | $100.00 |
| 09-15 09:52 | Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.64 | $100.00 |
| 09-13 15:53 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.4799999962 | $40.00 |
| 09-11 16:10 | Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.6499999994 | $50.00 |
| 09-11 05:58 | Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: Turnout Up or Down? | BUY | 0.9065420488 | $100.00 |
| 09-11 05:57 | Will Grüne win between 5% and 7% of all valid second votes? | SELL | 0.5309461065 | $98.32 |
| 09-10 15:56 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | SELL | 0.8531495774 | $114.07 |