PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

umumumum

0x394f17f65896e066da6939d42d1f523e835288e0

Realised P&L
$191.81
Volume
$28.7k
Markets traded
77
Open portfolio
$380.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded77
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample21 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes0.1790.387$380.00+$203.59
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET · Up0.1000.000$0.00$9.27
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET · Down0.1500.000$0.00$15.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET · Down0.1500.000$0.00$15.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET · Up0.0200.000$0.00$5.93
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET · Down0.3000.000$0.00$50.98
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET · Up0.0300.000$0.00$1.23
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET · Down0.0710.000$0.00$3.63
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET · Down0.2000.000$0.00$20.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET · Up0.0200.000$0.00$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET · Up0.0600.000$0.00$18.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET · Down0.2000.000$0.00$20.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET · Up0.0130.000$0.00$6.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET · Down0.2000.000$0.00$19.26
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET · Down0.2000.000$0.00$104.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 15:04Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?SELL0.0905422252$10.81
09-17 14:58Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.4504630139$190.00
09-17 14:19Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?SELL0.0463333333$8.34
09-17 14:06Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?SELL0.4845733746$194.23
09-17 12:13Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.4567529524$183.08
09-17 12:12Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?SELL0.1836961163$52.83
09-17 08:19Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.2098121278$23.25
09-17 07:57Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.19$0.25
09-17 07:21Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?SELL0.0614695669$55.66
09-16 23:43Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.0948465422$50.00
09-16 09:22Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.0326659489$8.80
09-16 09:16Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.0288322808$16.71
09-16 09:13Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?BUY0.1144783634$25.74
09-15 18:15Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?SELL0.1784030466$289.39
09-09 10:03Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:00AM-6:05AM ETBUY0.0623641351$10.00