PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x394d28a46db6cf12fda7924fff829f49ba56cc94

Realised P&L
$161.61
Volume
$12.4k
Markets traded
392
Open portfolio
$14.78

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded392
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration56.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Chuck Norris be the #1 searched passing on Google this year? · No0.7990.964$8.34+$1.42
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? · No0.8800.955$3.60+$0.28
Will Timothée Chalamet be the #1 searched person on Google this year? · No0.9840.998$2.81+$0.04
Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $446,000 and $454,000 on September 30? · Yes0.1100.002$0.03$2.44

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-25 21:10Will Nvidia say "Enterprise" during earnings call?BUY0.9$4.87
08-21 23:20Will Nvidia say "Gaming" during earnings call?BUY0.8899999982$4.87
08-21 10:08Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $446,000 and $454,000 on September 30?BUY0.1099999626$2.47
08-18 10:17Will Home Depot say "Lumber" during earnings call?BUY0.5899998894$2.08
08-18 06:20Will Klarna say "Sweden" during earnings call?BUY0.3899999178$1.47
08-10 21:10Will Cava say "Tariff" during earnings call?BUY0.2599999476$2.78
08-08 23:27Will Cisco say "Fiscal" 10+ times during earnings call?BUY0.96$1.38
08-08 14:36Will Cisco say "Fiscal" 10+ times during earnings call?BUY0.96$2.77
08-08 11:20Will Cisco say "Income" 10+ times during earnings call?BUY0.9889999985$4.62
08-04 12:11Will Uber say "Safety" during earnings call?BUY0.64$4.71
08-03 08:49Will Palantir say "Government" 10+ times during earnings call?BUY0.98$1.32
08-01 00:58Will Palantir say "Commercial" 10+ times during earnings call?BUY0.9889999974$1.15
07-31 18:44Will Spotify say "Premium" 20+ times during earnings call?BUY0.8499999911$4.75
07-31 17:50Will Palantir say "Healthcare" during earnings call?BUY0.5715767149$1.33
07-31 17:45Will Palantir say "Healthcare" during earnings call?BUY0.5899996806$1.57
Trader 0x394d…cc94 · PolyBot Pro