0x394d28a46db6cf12fda7924fff829f49ba56cc94
- Realised P&L
- $161.24
- Volume
- $12.3k
- Markets traded
- 383
- Open portfolio
- $45.67
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded383
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$74.69at 0.125Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$66.45at 0.118Solana Up or Down - April 19, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET
- +$20.25at 0.198Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
- +$20.00at 0.200Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET
- +$18.19at 0.290BNB Up or Down - April 19, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 08:49 | Will Palantir say "Government" 10+ times during earnings call? | BUY | 0.98 | $1.32 |
| 08-01 00:58 | Will Palantir say "Commercial" 10+ times during earnings call? | BUY | 0.9889999974 | $1.15 |
| 07-31 18:44 | Will Spotify say "Premium" 20+ times during earnings call? | BUY | 0.8499999911 | $4.75 |
| 07-31 17:50 | Will Palantir say "Healthcare" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.5715767149 | $1.33 |
| 07-31 17:45 | Will Palantir say "Healthcare" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.5899996806 | $1.57 |
| 07-31 14:12 | Will Palantir say "Warp Speed" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.25 |
| 07-31 11:06 | Will Spotify say "Fitness" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.6499999847 | $2.12 |
| 07-31 10:21 | Will Spotify say "World Cup" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.7699999634 | $3.16 |
| 07-31 06:48 | Will Spotify say "Churn" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.92 | $4.32 |
| 07-31 06:41 | Will Spotify say "Meta" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.8799999894 | $3.33 |
| 07-31 05:26 | Will Spotify say "Churn" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.9099999846 | $4.74 |
| 07-31 03:56 | Will Spotify say "Churn" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.92 | $2.01 |
| 07-31 03:56 | Will Spotify say "Churn" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.92 | $3.29 |
| 07-29 21:54 | Will Amazon say "Third Party Seller" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.6699999633 | $3.65 |
| 07-29 21:09 | Will Apple say "Sport" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.84 |