PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x3949a8ea938af21e93a7a0f54543dbac24f1aede

Realised P&L
$3.38
Volume
$37.25
Markets traded
20
Open portfolio
$4.14

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar9.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded20
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $264 Week of September 14 2026? · No0.7500.880$1.17+$0.17
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina? · Yes0.7300.745$1.02+$0.02
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $61 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes0.3900.305$0.78$0.22
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $60 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes0.6600.395$0.60$0.40
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 Week of September 14 2026? · No0.7200.400$0.56$0.44
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? · No0.7400.006$0.01$0.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 23:48Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina?BUY0.7299998102$1.00
09-15 12:18Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.6389996843$1.00
09-15 03:35Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $61 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.3899999337$1.00
09-14 19:03Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $60 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.6599997888$1.00
09-14 11:02Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $264 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.75$1.00
09-14 02:51Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.7199999424$1.00
09-13 18:50Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?BUY0.649999805$1.00
09-11 07:20SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 11?BUY0.2799999664$1.00
09-10 23:09Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $220 Week of September 7 2026?BUY0.6699999196$1.00
09-10 14:50Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention?BUY0.7199999424$1.00
09-10 04:40S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on September 10?BUY0.84$1.00
09-10 00:32Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,350 Week of September 7 2026?BUY0.64$1.00
09-09 16:30Will John Ternus say "Hardware" during his Apple Keynote?BUY0.4899998383$1.00
09-09 08:27Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of September 7 2026?BUY0.6299998362$1.00
09-08 23:01US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?BUY0.5299998463$1.00