0x3949a8ea938af21e93a7a0f54543dbac24f1aede
- Realised P&L
- $3.38
- Volume
- $37.25
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $4.14
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar9.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $264 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.750 | 0.880 | $1.17 | +$0.17 |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.745 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $61 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.305 | $0.78 | −$0.22 |
| Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $60 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.395 | $0.60 | −$0.40 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.720 | 0.400 | $0.56 | −$0.44 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? · No | 0.740 | 0.006 | $0.01 | −$0.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.54at 0.400Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $192.50 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$1.17at 0.460US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?
- +$1.02at 0.500Will John Ternus say "Hardware" during his Apple Keynote?
- +$0.89at 0.530US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?
- +$0.57at 0.639Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of September 7 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 23:48 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 12:18 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.6389996843 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 03:35 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $61 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 19:03 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $60 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 11:02 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $264 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 02:51 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $750 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 18:50 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 07:20 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 11? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 23:09 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $220 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 14:50 | Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 04:40 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on September 10? | BUY | 0.84 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 00:32 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,350 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 16:30 | Will John Ternus say "Hardware" during his Apple Keynote? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 08:27 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 23:01 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |