0x3948e7555a23549ce161178f4b208410551d9e6e
0x3948e7555a23549ce161178f4b208410551d9e6e
- Realised P&L
- $4.40
- Volume
- $168.99
- Markets traded
- 54
- Open portfolio
- $20.19
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded54
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration3.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample47 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 3? · Yes | 0.950 | 0.988 | $3.12 | +$0.12 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on October 3? · No | 0.950 | 0.984 | $3.11 | +$0.11 |
| Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on October 4? · No | 0.980 | 0.981 | $3.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 4? · No | 0.983 | 0.981 | $2.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on October 4? · No | 0.982 | 0.978 | $2.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $115 on October 4? · Yes | 0.960 | 0.835 | $2.61 | −$0.39 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 3? · No | 0.950 | 0.750 | $2.37 | −$0.63 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.15at 0.953Ethereum Up or Down - September 28, 12PM ET
- +$0.12at 0.963Will Ethereum reach $2,750 on September 27?
- +$0.12at 0.963Will the price of Solana be above $115 on September 28?
- +$0.12at 0.963Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 1PM ET
- +$0.12at 0.963Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on October 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 17:15 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 4? | BUY | 0.982999998 | $3.00 |
| 10-02 16:46 | Will the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on October 4? | BUY | 0.9819999974 | $3.00 |
| 10-02 16:31 | Will the price of Solana be above $115 on October 4? | BUY | 0.96 | $3.00 |
| 10-02 16:15 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on October 4? | BUY | 0.98 | $3.00 |
| 10-02 04:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 3? | BUY | 0.95 | $3.00 |
| 10-01 20:16 | Will Solana dip to $115 on October 1? | BUY | 0.975 | $3.00 |
| 10-01 18:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 3? | BUY | 0.95 | $3.00 |
| 10-01 17:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $3.00 |
| 10-01 17:32 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on October 3? | BUY | 0.95 | $3.00 |
| 10-01 17:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 2? | BUY | 0.9499999208 | $3.00 |
| 10-01 05:01 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on October 2? | BUY | 0.95 | $3.00 |
| 10-01 04:31 | Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 1? | BUY | 0.9659999974 | $3.00 |
| 09-30 17:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 1? | BUY | 0.9509997385 | $3.00 |
| 09-30 17:16 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 1? | BUY | 0.954999992 | $3.00 |
| 09-30 17:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 2? | BUY | 0.954999774 | $3.00 |