PolyBot

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Traders

0x39404e131af39Fe446337950DD6B0388C139f8B5-1789916440493

0x39404e131af39fe446337950dd6b0388c139f8b5

Realised P&L
$1.6k
Volume
$73.9k
Markets traded
32
Open portfolio
$1.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded32
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration60.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration82.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C or below on September 21? · Yes0.0080.589$1.4k+$1.4k
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on September 21? · Yes0.0070.148$129.29+$122.96
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on September 21? · Yes0.0320.111$121.70+$86.82
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or below on September 21? · Yes0.0060.003$6.30$8.01
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 21? · Yes0.0030.001$4.00$18.75
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 21? · Yes0.0010.001$3.63$6.36
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C or below on September 21? · Yes0.0040.001$3.59$22.10
Will the lowest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on September 20? · Yes0.0020.001$3.59$3.01
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on September 21? · Yes0.0100.001$2.67$50.81
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on September 21? · Yes0.0140.001$2.14$58.45
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on September 21? · Yes0.0220.003$1.88$12.05
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on September 21? · Yes0.0100.001$1.31$24.69
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 21? · Yes0.0140.001$1.25$33.80
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 21? · Yes0.0040.001$1.25$8.75
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on September 21? · Yes0.0100.001$1.25$23.74

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 06:30Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C or below on September 21?SELL0.75$225.00
09-21 06:08Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 21?BUY0.004$1.12
09-21 05:48Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 21?SELL0.01147029$4.46
09-21 05:34Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 21?BUY0.009486749$3.59
09-21 05:33Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 21?BUY0.0099920743$6.30
09-21 05:33Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 21?BUY0.004$0.27
09-21 05:28Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on September 21?BUY0.0221003322$7.38
09-21 05:28Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on September 21?BUY0.0193794847$1.57
09-21 05:18Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 21?SELL0.01$3.00
09-21 05:18Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 21?SELL0.007$0.25
09-21 05:17Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on September 21?SELL0.0124505794$23.78
09-21 05:14Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on September 21?BUY0.0188333981$3.39
09-21 05:12Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 21?BUY0.011$0.80
09-21 05:11Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 21?BUY0.008$2.76
09-21 05:05Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 21?BUY0.0087105027$6.71