0x39404e131af39Fe446337950DD6B0388C139f8B5-1789916440493
0x39404e131af39fe446337950dd6b0388c139f8b5
- Realised P&L
- $1.6k
- Volume
- $73.9k
- Markets traded
- 32
- Open portfolio
- $1.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded32
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration82.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$325.83at 0.235Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 20?
- +$185.85at 0.085Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 20?
- +$19.32at 0.748Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on September 20?
- +$6.57at 0.941Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on September 20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 06:30 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C or below on September 21? | SELL | 0.75 | $225.00 |
| 09-21 06:08 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.12 |
| 09-21 05:48 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.01147029 | $4.46 |
| 09-21 05:34 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.009486749 | $3.59 |
| 09-21 05:33 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.0099920743 | $6.30 |
| 09-21 05:33 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.004 | $0.27 |
| 09-21 05:28 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.0221003322 | $7.38 |
| 09-21 05:28 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.0193794847 | $1.57 |
| 09-21 05:18 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.01 | $3.00 |
| 09-21 05:18 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.25 |
| 09-21 05:17 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.0124505794 | $23.78 |
| 09-21 05:14 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.0188333981 | $3.39 |
| 09-21 05:12 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.011 | $0.80 |
| 09-21 05:11 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.008 | $2.76 |
| 09-21 05:05 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.0087105027 | $6.71 |