0x393dB6BD29fB5Be3564ED68Bc9cBB0746d3F6B95-1763697815368
0x393db6bd29fb5be3564ed68bc9cbb0746d3f6b95
- Realised P&L
- $-3.6k
- Volume
- $106.8k
- Markets traded
- 1,019
- Open portfolio
- $683.31
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,019
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration90.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? · No | 0.513 | 0.455 | $620.77 | −$79.23 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.278 | 0.155 | $55.94 | −$44.06 |
| Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? · No | 0.344 | 0.018 | $5.38 | −$94.62 |
| Will United Russia (ER) win 60% or more of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election? · Yes | 0.084 | 0.004 | $1.23 | −$28.34 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET · Down | 0.558 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.70 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$384.05at 0.566Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
- +$250.08at 0.369Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
- +$159.65at 0.631Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 12PM ET
- +$143.55at 0.524Ethereum Up or Down - March 15, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
- +$136.45at 0.427Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 18:45 | Will United Russia (ER) win 60% or more of the party-list vote in the 2026 Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.083986594 | $29.57 |
| 09-02 16:48 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.5162181852 | $500.00 |
| 08-31 16:36 | Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region? | BUY | 0.3438938197 | $100.00 |
| 08-29 09:57 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.505381069 | $200.00 |
| 08-24 20:47 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.2228387301 | $100.00 |
| 07-31 06:48 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.2779999982 | $100.00 |
| 07-30 13:53 | Targu Mures: Francesca Jones vs Lucija Bagaric | BUY | 0.94 | $500.00 |
| 04-12 11:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $1.77 |
| 04-12 11:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET | BUY | 0.55 | $2.57 |
| 04-12 11:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET | SELL | 0.76 | $3.71 |
| 04-12 11:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET | BUY | 0.69 | $3.30 |
| 04-12 11:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET | SELL | 0.47 | $2.29 |
| 04-12 11:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET | BUY | 0.67 | $3.19 |
| 04-12 10:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET | BUY | 0.54 | $2.52 |
| 04-12 10:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET | BUY | 0.44 | $1.95 |