PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x393Ab114FAfE84aA55F24f5FEFa9B3c4D1ac4623-1772347953607

0x393ab114fafe84aa55f24f5fefa9b3c4d1ac4623

Realised P&L
$-397.93
Volume
$19.3k
Markets traded
55
Open portfolio
$311.02

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded55
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration43.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample26 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3700.335$90.54$9.46
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.8800.961$54.57+$4.57
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0280.112$39.86+$29.86
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.3080.298$29.10$0.90
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.3010.195$19.88$10.81
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.1130.067$11.80$8.20
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? · Yes0.2560.105$11.03$15.86
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9620.981$10.19+$0.19
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1900.055$5.79$14.21
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? · Yes0.0580.033$5.57$4.43
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.4900.545$5.56+$0.56
Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026? · No0.9100.976$5.36+$0.36
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.8400.745$4.43$0.57
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? · Yes0.2800.120$4.29$5.71
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.5900.065$3.31$26.69

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-15 22:01Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.2099999902$16.00
07-15 21:58Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.3077435407$30.00
07-09 20:32Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.369999998$100.00
07-09 20:29Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1879999987$100.00
04-17 00:47Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?BUY0.2743314466$16.89
04-04 20:08Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.5699999628$14.69
04-03 07:10Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.4899999804$5.00
04-03 07:08Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?BUY0.1199999808$5.00
04-02 08:19Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?BUY0.1499998875$1.00
04-02 08:15Will another country recognize Somaliland by June 30?BUY0.1057692219$10.00
04-02 08:14Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by June 30?BUY0.2099999861$10.00
03-28 20:33US forces enter Iran by April 30?BUY0.5999999881$10.07
03-24 07:55NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8399999395$5.00
03-24 07:54Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures?BUY0.2799999854$10.00
03-24 07:53Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?BUY0.4299999931$10.00