0x39366DB96706A0A55D394EE1196e9455Baf2C6d4-1760734928516
0x39366db96706a0a55d394ee1196e9455baf2c6d4
- Realised P&L
- $-1.11
- Volume
- $2.0k
- Markets traded
- 182
- Open portfolio
- $1.16
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded182
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethereal FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.235 | $0.73 | −$0.23 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.265 | $0.43 | −$0.57 |
| Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $200 and $250? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.66at 0.595Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$11.67at 0.300Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?
- +$6.69at 0.130Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
- +$5.55at 0.390Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
- +$5.42at 0.480Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 05:37 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5949999924 | $23.00 |
| 06-12 12:40 | Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $200 and $250? | BUY | 0.229999916 | $2.00 |
| 05-12 22:15 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 05-12 12:26 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in April? | BUY | 0.429999828 | $1.00 |
| 04-25 19:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET | BUY | 0.3499998775 | $0.91 |
| 04-25 18:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET | SELL | 0.08 | $0.21 |
| 04-25 18:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET | BUY | 0.3599998704 | $0.91 |
| 04-21 08:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET | BUY | 0.4899998285 | $0.93 |
| 04-20 10:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET | BUY | 0.74 | $0.96 |
| 04-20 09:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET | BUY | 0.78 | $0.97 |
| 04-19 20:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET | BUY | 0.91 | $0.99 |
| 04-19 20:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET | BUY | 0.2799998432 | $0.90 |
| 04-19 20:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $0.93 |
| 04-19 20:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET | BUY | 0.4899998285 | $0.93 |
| 04-19 18:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $0.98 |