PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x36900E4ec6c4bC5a99479fE9c0DfA2E1045F8E50-1771816821105

0x392cb15b462fb7a9d9432191bf374835a7caa50c

Realised P&L
$4.40
Volume
$222.80
Markets traded
9
Open portfolio
$9.91

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded9
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration51.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 9? · Yes0.5600.555$9.91−$0.09
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on September 25? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$2.00
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 1? · Yes0.3100.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 30? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00−$8.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 00:32Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 9?BUY0.5599999955$10.00
10-05 22:37Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 7?BUY0.5$10.00
09-30 07:40Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 1?BUY0.3099999857$5.00
09-29 08:25Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 30?BUY0.2599999981$8.00
09-29 08:05Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 29?SELL0.992$26.01
09-28 17:39Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 29?BUY0.3813584078$10.00
09-24 11:39Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on September 25?BUY0.2299999782$2.00
09-23 22:33Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?BUY0.4554455391$5.00
09-19 05:27Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 19?SELL0.22$4.91
09-18 19:34Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 19?BUY0.4477611807$10.00
09-18 06:24Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 18?SELL0.97$10.31
09-17 17:09Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 18?BUY0.4699999944$5.00