0x36900E4ec6c4bC5a99479fE9c0DfA2E1045F8E50-1771816821105
0x392cb15b462fb7a9d9432191bf374835a7caa50c
- Realised P&L
- $4.40
- Volume
- $222.80
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $9.91
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 9? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.555 | $9.91 | −$0.09 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on September 25? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 1? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 30? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.69at 0.393Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 29?
- +$9.75at 0.512Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 7?
- +$5.17at 0.482Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 18?
- +$-5.11at 0.465Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?
- +$-5.55at 0.460Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 00:32 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.5599999955 | $10.00 |
| 10-05 22:37 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 09-30 07:40 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.3099999857 | $5.00 |
| 09-29 08:25 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.2599999981 | $8.00 |
| 09-29 08:05 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 29? | SELL | 0.992 | $26.01 |
| 09-28 17:39 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.3813584078 | $10.00 |
| 09-24 11:39 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.2299999782 | $2.00 |
| 09-23 22:33 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.4554455391 | $5.00 |
| 09-19 05:27 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.22 | $4.91 |
| 09-18 19:34 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.4477611807 | $10.00 |
| 09-18 06:24 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.97 | $10.31 |
| 09-17 17:09 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $5.00 |