16B51564
0x392aae3766762ff3a225400e1540fe25eb3889ac
- Realised P&L
- $-1.06
- Volume
- $755.17
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $2.87
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hyperbeat FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.038 | 0.023 | $1.84 | −$1.21 |
| Will Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.185 | $0.93 | −$0.13 |
| Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.001 | $0.10 | −$1.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.27at 0.693Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
- +$-1.02at 0.979Will Jared Goff win the 2026 NFL MVP?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 18:31 | Will Jared Goff win the 2026 NFL MVP? | SELL | 0.969 | $94.96 |
| 09-13 00:25 | Will Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? | BUY | 0.21 | $1.05 |
| 09-06 14:39 | Will Jared Goff win the 2026 NFL MVP? | BUY | 0.9778862051 | $95.84 |
| 09-06 14:36 | Hyperbeat FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.038068339 | $3.05 |
| 08-01 15:59 | Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.67 |
| 08-01 15:53 | Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.005999997 | $2.00 |
| 07-30 19:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.6774797423 | $5.00 |