LeoBafixizzz
0x3927240394ffd29406071ba77d177bb3027946a8
- Realised P&L
- $-12.74
- Volume
- $6.4k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $1.07
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)47.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will USD/CAD hit 1.70 (High) in 2026? · No | 0.950 | 0.971 | $1.07 | +$0.02 |
| Will Trump sign an NIL executive order by September 1? · No | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will CRA win 173+ seats in the Japanese snap election? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.26at 0.510Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3AM ET
- +$1.35at 0.650Will the People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the fourth most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
- +$0.74at 0.730Will Apollo Global Management (APO) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$0.70at 0.810Axiom daily fees above $5M in 2025?
- +$0.33at 0.860Will Ding Liren win Game 14 of the World Chess Championship?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-22 07:38 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? | SELL | 0.996 | $70.14 |
| 06-22 07:37 | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.996 | $70.00 |
| 06-22 07:37 | Will Lucy Powell be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $61.06 |
| 06-18 09:54 | Will Lucy Powell be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $61.00 |
| 06-18 09:54 | Will Lucy Powell be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $60.88 |
| 06-18 09:54 | Will Lucy Powell be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $61.00 |
| 06-18 09:53 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? | BUY | 0.9939999887 | $70.00 |
| 06-18 09:52 | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $70.00 |
| 05-01 10:50 | Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.993 | $70.34 |
| 05-01 10:50 | Will the Athletics win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.993 | $69.93 |
| 05-01 10:50 | Will Norway win Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.995 | $69.93 |
| 04-30 07:49 | Will the Athletics win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.994 | $70.00 |
| 04-30 07:49 | Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.994 | $70.00 |
| 04-30 07:48 | Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.993 | $69.51 |
| 04-30 07:48 | Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.994 | $70.00 |