PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x392722ECA98340e8fFd93962b4aC8EbBEe22b28E-1773172515354

0x392722eca98340e8ffd93962b4ac8ebbee22b28e

Realised P&L
$677.48
Volume
$18.0k
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$329.72

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.8%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration95.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Iran full airspace closure by September 30? · Yes0.1000.055$157.22$128.63
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? · No0.1160.075$139.10$76.94
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2380.235$24.83$0.36
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.1000.050$8.56$8.54
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$7.00
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $76 on August 6? · No0.0620.000$0.00$40.27

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 16:18Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?BUY0.08$71.04
09-15 16:16Iran full airspace closure by September 30?SELL0.07$70.30
09-09 18:27Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?BUY0.1499999991$17.00
09-09 18:25Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?SELL0.0245976885$17.64
09-09 00:28Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?BUY0.1499999999$128.00
09-08 22:39WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on September 8?SELL0.999$118.71
09-08 15:22Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?BUY0.028$1.40
09-08 00:38WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on September 8?BUY0.56$16.80
09-08 00:38WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on September 8?BUY0.56$16.80
09-08 00:38WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on September 8?BUY0.56$5.60
09-08 00:38WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on September 8?BUY0.56$5.60
09-08 00:30Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026?BUY0.26$15.60
09-07 01:51WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $94 on September 8?SELL0.19$95.00
09-07 01:05WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $94 on September 8?BUY0.25$125.00
09-06 23:31Total Internet Blackout in Iran by September 30, 2026?BUY0.19$3.80