0x392722ECA98340e8fFd93962b4aC8EbBEe22b28E-1773172515354
0x392722eca98340e8ffd93962b4ac8ebbee22b28e
- Realised P&L
- $677.48
- Volume
- $18.0k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $329.72
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration95.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran full airspace closure by September 30? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.055 | $157.22 | −$128.63 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? · No | 0.116 | 0.075 | $139.10 | −$76.94 |
| Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.238 | 0.235 | $24.83 | −$0.36 |
| Total Internet Blackout in Iran by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.050 | $8.56 | −$8.54 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.00 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $76 on August 6? · No | 0.062 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.27 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.119Israel closes its airspace by September 30?
- +$51.77at 0.563WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on September 8?
- +$-2.76at 0.028Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?
- +$-36.83at 0.258WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $94 on September 8?
- +$-114.83at 0.242WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $78 on August 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 16:18 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.08 | $71.04 |
| 09-15 16:16 | Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | SELL | 0.07 | $70.30 |
| 09-09 18:27 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.1499999991 | $17.00 |
| 09-09 18:25 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.0245976885 | $17.64 |
| 09-09 00:28 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.1499999999 | $128.00 |
| 09-08 22:39 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on September 8? | SELL | 0.999 | $118.71 |
| 09-08 15:22 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.028 | $1.40 |
| 09-08 00:38 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on September 8? | BUY | 0.56 | $16.80 |
| 09-08 00:38 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on September 8? | BUY | 0.56 | $16.80 |
| 09-08 00:38 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on September 8? | BUY | 0.56 | $5.60 |
| 09-08 00:38 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on September 8? | BUY | 0.56 | $5.60 |
| 09-08 00:30 | Total Internet Blackout in Iran by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.26 | $15.60 |
| 09-07 01:51 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $94 on September 8? | SELL | 0.19 | $95.00 |
| 09-07 01:05 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $94 on September 8? | BUY | 0.25 | $125.00 |
| 09-06 23:31 | Total Internet Blackout in Iran by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $3.80 |