0xdb5757CA48e6e3aCcf023EAEfbfb81950c3b36b4-1769254093631
0x39248cbbed7dfe64abc215a43e4af9163670f92b
- Realised P&L
- $83.03
- Volume
- $4.8k
- Markets traded
- 66
- Open portfolio
- $30.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded66
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample36 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)61.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$44.40at 0.170Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
- +$20.50at 0.480Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-09?
- +$14.77at 0.141Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?
- +$13.20at 0.330South Africa to score first vs. Korea Republic?
- +$12.79at 0.350Mohamed Salah: 1+ goals
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-22 15:46 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.06 | $18.00 |
| 10-14 13:22 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.48 | $138.49 |
| 07-07 16:29 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.46 | $4.60 |
| 07-03 22:29 | Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | SELL | 0.05 | $2.00 |
| 07-03 00:21 | Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.34 | $6.80 |
| 07-02 01:48 | United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 07-02 01:29 | United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.13 | $2.60 |
| 06-30 21:20 | France vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.45 | $9.00 |
| 06-30 19:34 | Will Argentina be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup? | SELL | 0.19 | $10.45 |
| 06-28 01:24 | Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27? | BUY | 0.17 | $1.70 |
| 06-27 05:36 | Will South Korea be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.12 |
| 06-27 05:23 | Will Argentina be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup? | BUY | 0.24 | $6.00 |
| 06-27 04:59 | Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw? | BUY | 0.138 | $2.76 |
| 06-24 00:35 | Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.2 | $4.00 |
| 06-22 02:28 | Mohamed Salah: 1+ goals | SELL | 0.99 | $19.80 |