PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xdb5757CA48e6e3aCcf023EAEfbfb81950c3b36b4-1769254093631

0x39248cbbed7dfe64abc215a43e4af9163670f92b

Realised P&L
$83.03
Volume
$4.8k
Markets traded
66
Open portfolio
$30.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded66
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample36 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)61.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration65.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Tottenham Hotspur be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League? · Yes0.1200.065$19.50−$16.50
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.2100.105$10.50−$10.50
Will South Korea be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$0.31
Erling Haaland: 3+ goals · Yes0.2500.000$0.00−$5.00
Viktor Gyökeres: 1+ goals · Yes0.2900.000$0.00−$5.80
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance · Germany0.3600.000$0.00−$5.40
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$1.00
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 1.5 · Over0.4900.000$0.00−$4.90
Will France win on 2026-07-14? · Yes0.1950.000$0.00−$3.90
Brazil vs. Haiti: 2nd Half O/U 2.5 · Over0.2300.000$0.00−$9.20
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance · Mexico0.2300.000$0.00−$4.60
Viktor Gyökeres: 2+ goals · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$0.95
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$1.04
Spread: Canada (-1.5) · Qatar0.4900.000$0.00−$4.90
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 2nd Half O/U 1.5 · Over0.5300.000$0.00−$10.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-22 15:46Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.06$18.00
10-14 13:22Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.48$138.49
07-07 16:29Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.46$4.60
07-03 22:29Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?SELL0.05$2.00
07-03 00:21Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goalsBUY0.34$6.80
07-02 01:48United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to AdvanceSELL0.02$1.00
07-02 01:29United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.13$2.60
06-30 21:20France vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5SELL0.45$9.00
06-30 19:34Will Argentina be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?SELL0.19$10.45
06-28 01:24Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?BUY0.17$1.70
06-27 05:36Will South Korea be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?BUY0.16$1.12
06-27 05:23Will Argentina be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?BUY0.24$6.00
06-27 04:59Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?BUY0.138$2.76
06-24 00:35Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5SELL0.2$4.00
06-22 02:28Mohamed Salah: 1+ goalsSELL0.99$19.80