0x3921EfB6f682f66D4753A276345be15E53cE03CD-1721626111892
0x3921efb6f682f66d4753a276345be15e53ce03cd
- Realised P&L
- $1.9k
- Volume
- $118.6k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $3.0k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.160 | 1.000 | $2.9k | +$2.5k |
| Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? · Yes | 0.062 | 0.019 | $49.41 | −$107.98 |
| Will Erling Haaland win the Ballon d’Or? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination? · Yes | 0.066 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner? · Yes | 0.158 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Biden resigns from presidency by August 31? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| Will Biden announce resignation by July 31? · Yes | 0.057 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$28.40 |
| Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Oct 31? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$29.00 |
| Will Milton make landfall as a category 5? · Yes | 0.027 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will Michelle Obama be D-nom for VP on Election Day? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.00 |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$42.15at 0.297Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-08 18:39 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.16 | $470.87 |
| 02-09 20:59 | Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | BUY | 0.0621113206 | $157.39 |
| 10-14 11:35 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.451 | $123.45 |
| 10-09 18:04 | Will Michelle Obama be D-nom for VP on Election Day? | BUY | 0.003 | $21.00 |
| 10-09 18:03 | Will Erling Haaland win the Ballon d’Or? | BUY | 0.009 | $15.00 |
| 10-09 18:01 | Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Oct 31? | BUY | 0.1299999961 | $29.00 |
| 10-09 18:00 | Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner? | BUY | 0.1581722294 | $50.00 |
| 10-09 17:51 | Will Milton make landfall as a category 5? | BUY | 0.027457928 | $50.00 |
| 10-09 17:47 | Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.002 | $200.00 |
| 07-22 06:34 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.2969999982 | $81.30 |
| 07-22 06:32 | Biden resigns from presidency by August 31? | BUY | 0.16 | $40.00 |
| 07-22 06:31 | Will Biden announce resignation by July 31? | BUY | 0.0567660979 | $28.40 |
| 07-22 06:30 | Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination? | BUY | 0.0663366324 | $50.00 |