PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x3921EfB6f682f66D4753A276345be15E53cE03CD-1721626111892

0x3921efb6f682f66d4753a276345be15e53ce03cd

Realised P&L
$1.9k
Volume
$118.6k
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$3.0k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration98.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1601.000$2.9k+$2.5k
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? · Yes0.0620.019$49.41$107.98
Will Erling Haaland win the Ballon d’Or? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00$15.00
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination? · Yes0.0660.000$0.00$50.00
Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner? · Yes0.1580.000$0.00$50.00
Biden resigns from presidency by August 31? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00$40.00
Will Biden announce resignation by July 31? · Yes0.0570.000$0.00$28.40
Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Oct 31? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$29.00
Will Milton make landfall as a category 5? · Yes0.0270.000$0.00$50.00
Will Michelle Obama be D-nom for VP on Election Day? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$21.00
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$200.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-08 18:39Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.16$470.87
02-09 20:59Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?BUY0.0621113206$157.39
10-14 11:35Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?SELL0.451$123.45
10-09 18:04Will Michelle Obama be D-nom for VP on Election Day?BUY0.003$21.00
10-09 18:03 Will Erling Haaland win the Ballon d’Or?BUY0.009$15.00
10-09 18:01Confirmed case of monkeypox in US by Oct 31?BUY0.1299999961$29.00
10-09 18:00Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?BUY0.1581722294$50.00
10-09 17:51Will Milton make landfall as a category 5?BUY0.027457928$50.00
10-09 17:47Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?BUY0.002$200.00
07-22 06:34Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?BUY0.2969999982$81.30
07-22 06:32Biden resigns from presidency by August 31?BUY0.16$40.00
07-22 06:31Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?BUY0.0567660979$28.40
07-22 06:30Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?BUY0.0663366324$50.00