PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

xxb1

0x390d6239529d6073548c49f1d4541a63fc3a1c77

Realised P&L
$8.45
Volume
$1.8k
Markets traded
83
Open portfolio
$4.74

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded83
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration63.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 17? · Yes0.0690.075$3.00+$0.25
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 17? · Yes0.0040.011$1.74+$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on October 8? · Yes0.0620.000$0.00−$1.24
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 24? · Yes0.0620.000$0.00−$2.04
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on August 27? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00−$1.40
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on September 16? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00−$1.40
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 10? · Yes0.4000.000$0.00−$2.00
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 8? · Yes0.3800.000$0.00−$1.90
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 18? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00−$0.49
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 14? · Yes0.3700.000$0.00−$1.85
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 10? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$1.04
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 23? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00−$1.80
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 24? · Yes0.4400.000$0.00−$2.20
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 16? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00−$1.62
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on September 15? · Yes0.2580.000$0.00−$1.29

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-16 13:26Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 17?BUY0.06875$2.75
10-16 13:26Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 17?BUY0.0044733499$0.74
10-16 04:00Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 16?BUY0.09$1.08
10-15 22:43Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 16?BUY0.0045624478$0.33
10-15 22:41Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 16?BUY0.26$1.82
10-15 06:04Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 15?SELL0.001$0.05
10-15 06:01Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 15?SELL0.83$4.98
10-15 04:19Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 15?BUY0.006$0.18
10-15 04:07Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 15?BUY0.06$1.17
10-15 01:01Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 15?SELL0.01$0.00
10-14 23:09Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 15?BUY0.34$2.04
10-14 23:08Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 15?BUY0.0466625$1.87
10-14 02:18Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 14?BUY0.0128874431$0.59
10-14 02:02Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 14?BUY0.37$1.85
10-13 22:18Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 14?BUY0.04$1.20