PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x390d5b55a7bc9b39d02f2695c51a51c41df40103

Realised P&L
$2.86
Volume
$223.87
Markets traded
6
Open portfolio
$19.78

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded6
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration57.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party win the GA-10 House seat? · No0.9100.984$11.30+$0.84
Will the Republican Party win the GA-10 House seat? · Yes0.9000.980$6.15+$0.50
No one announced as next James Bond? · Yes0.2190.234$2.34+$0.15

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 09:49No one announced as next James Bond?BUY0.219$2.19
09-16 21:45Will the Democratic Party win the GA-10 House seat?SELL0.982$0.19
09-09 10:56Will AfD win between 35% and 38% of all valid second votes?SELL0.5$0.42
09-09 10:09Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?SELL0.394$4.33
09-08 10:10Will AfD win between 35% and 38% of all valid second votes?SELL0.5$0.15
09-08 08:20Will AfD win between 35% and 38% of all valid second votes?SELL0.5$0.21
09-08 05:02Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?BUY0.25$1.35
09-08 03:50Will AfD win between 35% and 38% of all valid second votes?SELL0.5$0.24
09-07 09:52Will the Democratic Party win the GA-10 House seat?SELL0.981$0.19
09-07 06:17Will AfD win between 35% and 38% of all valid second votes?SELL0.48$0.18
09-07 04:45Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?BUY0.1789998588$1.00
09-07 01:17Will AfD win between 35% and 38% of all valid second votes?SELL0.5$0.61
09-07 01:10Will AfD win between 35% and 38% of all valid second votes?SELL0.48$0.26
09-07 01:09Will AfD win between 35% and 38% of all valid second votes?BUY0.5$2.10
09-06 23:23Will the Democratic Party win the GA-10 House seat?SELL0.983$0.21