0x390Cec898Dbf830bfE03b90b56779f5596ace02a-1768577668803
0x390cec898dbf830bfe03b90b56779f5596ace02a
- Realised P&L
- $-559.38
- Volume
- $118.2k
- Markets traded
- 1,123
- Open portfolio
- $2.28
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,123
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration18.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$298.15at 0.025Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 3?
- +$139.97at 0.105Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on February 26?
- +$139.88at 0.180Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 23?
- +$122.40at 0.029Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on February 25?
- +$113.93at 0.255Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 09:53 | Solana Up or Down on October 13? | BUY | 0.1372201019 | $9.00 |
| 10-13 09:10 | Solana Up or Down on October 13? | BUY | 0.2436397835 | $20.00 |
| 10-13 00:32 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 13? | BUY | 0.1469999957 | $2.49 |
| 10-13 00:16 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.2277227704 | $26.00 |
| 10-12 12:39 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 12? | BUY | 0.1635910192 | $2.00 |
| 10-12 12:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 12? | BUY | 0.1576989826 | $10.00 |
| 10-12 12:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 12? | BUY | 0.162 | $0.81 |
| 10-12 12:37 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 12? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $10.00 |
| 10-12 09:25 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 12? | SELL | 0.999 | $53.74 |
| 10-12 06:25 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.273982416 | $14.74 |
| 10-12 02:32 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.1004016064 | $10.00 |
| 10-12 01:42 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.1652097425 | $20.00 |
| 10-12 00:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET | BUY | 0.5599999743 | $3.48 |
| 10-11 23:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $3.48 |
| 10-11 23:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET | BUY | 0.58 | $3.48 |