0x39090504087814e9ce7b1e21410039aff18aafd9
- Realised P&L
- $559.40
- Volume
- $16.2k
- Markets traded
- 110
- Open portfolio
- $115.86
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded110
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration77.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$140.64at 0.408Will Michael Jackson be named in newly released Epstein files?
- +$113.25at 0.440Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration before 2027?
- +$91.02at 0.298Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?
- +$72.80at 0.665Will the Phoenix Suns make the NBA Playoffs?
- +$48.58at 0.542Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-09 10:18 | New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 05-09 08:53 | Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? | SELL | 0.339 | $24.41 |
| 04-05 14:07 | Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.064 | $10.14 |
| 03-26 02:07 | Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.37 | $2.22 |
| 03-26 01:59 | Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award? | SELL | 0.42 | $11.54 |
| 03-25 21:32 | Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.48 | $31.68 |
| 03-18 13:35 | Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? | BUY | 0.7699999972 | $46.72 |
| 03-18 09:00 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | SELL | 0.25 | $20.00 |
| 03-18 01:12 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.5 | $49.00 |
| 03-17 06:04 | Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.17 | $8.67 |
| 03-17 06:00 | Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.18 | $16.38 |
| 03-16 22:04 | Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.17 | $12.24 |
| 03-16 22:00 | Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.180941583 | $12.78 |
| 03-16 06:08 | Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.0479999895 | $4.22 |
| 03-16 03:58 | Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.0429999868 | $3.05 |