seeyouontv
0x39063a8d47e2a90a7b682d6a5b8c112ee3577556
- Realised P&L
- $-33.2k
- Volume
- $671.5k
- Markets traded
- 61
- Open portfolio
- $187.73
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded61
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration63.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? · Yes | 0.118 | 0.032 | $119.61 | −$330.39 |
| Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.024 | $64.09 | −$235.91 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · Yes | 0.472 | 0.001 | $4.03 | −$3.8k |
| Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? · Yes | 0.116 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$216.14 |
| Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Cadillac Championship? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$300.00 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? · Yes | 0.475 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.4k |
| Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? · Yes | 0.466 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.6k |
| Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? · Yes | 0.021 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.59 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.7kat 0.745Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$4.1kat 0.559US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
- +$3.1kat 0.237Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
- +$2.8kat 0.643US forces enter Iran by April 30?
- +$2.1kat 0.320Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-21 18:03 | Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.3999928495 | $374.60 |
| 07-21 18:02 | Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.34 | $381.54 |
| 07-21 14:54 | Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.3541061707 | $550.00 |
| 07-21 14:53 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.1015589968 | $572.01 |
| 07-18 17:22 | Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.4747398705 | $1.9k |
| 07-18 17:21 | Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.144386957 | $1.0k |
| 07-18 17:19 | Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.1453087889 | $1.0k |
| 07-17 12:49 | Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.3251371912 | $800.00 |
| 07-17 12:49 | Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.3539999999 | $1.1k |
| 07-14 11:25 | Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.4412638822 | $479.17 |
| 07-13 00:48 | Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.4429908728 | $500.00 |
| 07-13 00:39 | Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.4280621278 | $1000.00 |
| 07-13 00:38 | Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.2983737089 | $79.44 |
| 07-13 00:37 | Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.419 | $567.52 |
| 07-13 00:36 | Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.3062318175 | $500.00 |