pangloz99
0x3904e686bffade807ac746cd462c6f44724c539b
- Realised P&L
- $4.9k
- Volume
- $277.8k
- Markets traded
- 2,440
- Open portfolio
- $2.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded2,440
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration24.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.478Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on September 14?
- +$599.64at 0.805Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 22?
- +$585.43at 0.252Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on September 8?
- +$533.30at 0.681Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on September 14?
- +$497.59at 0.843Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 07:14 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 25? | BUY | 0.4499999878 | $1.84 |
| 09-25 07:00 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 25? | BUY | 0.8799999943 | $12.46 |
| 09-25 06:55 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.109999998 | $1.08 |
| 09-25 06:55 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 25? | BUY | 0.4499999878 | $1.84 |
| 09-25 06:41 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on September 25? | BUY | 0.9002065136 | $4.55 |
| 09-25 06:41 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on September 25? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.80 |
| 09-25 06:41 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on September 25? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.80 |
| 09-25 06:41 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on September 25? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.82 |
| 09-25 06:41 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on September 25? | BUY | 0.9 | $2.73 |
| 09-25 06:41 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on September 25? | BUY | 0.9 | $8.19 |
| 09-25 06:41 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on September 25? | BUY | 0.9 | $10.92 |
| 09-25 06:40 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on September 25? | BUY | 0.9 | $14.56 |
| 09-25 06:40 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on September 25? | BUY | 0.9 | $32.76 |
| 09-25 06:38 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on September 25? | BUY | 0.89 | $2.70 |
| 09-25 06:36 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.18 | $1.71 |