PolyBot

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Traders

pangloz99

0x3904e686bffade807ac746cd462c6f44724c539b

Realised P&L
$4.9k
Volume
$277.8k
Markets traded
2,440
Open portfolio
$2.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded2,440
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration24.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on September 24? · No0.8331.000$698.81+$116.72
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 25? · No0.8680.905$663.02+$26.79
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on September 25? · No0.6570.900$389.67+$105.36
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on September 24? · No0.8351.000$277.53+$45.67
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on September 25? · No0.8690.905$220.01+$8.72
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on September 24? · No0.9101.000$143.43+$12.88
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 24? · No0.5451.000$135.32+$61.54
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 25? · Yes0.4650.600$41.70+$9.41
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on September 24? · No0.8001.000$36.43+$7.27
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on September 25? · No0.7820.805$26.86+$0.75
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on September 25? · No0.6020.485$22.60−$5.46
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on September 25? · No0.6960.580$16.39−$3.27
Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on September 25? · No0.8020.805$14.64+$0.06
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 25? · No0.6630.600$14.55−$1.53
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on September 24? · Yes0.3001.000$12.39+$8.67

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 07:14Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 25?BUY0.4499999878$1.84
09-25 07:00Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 25?BUY0.8799999943$12.46
09-25 06:55Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 25?BUY0.109999998$1.08
09-25 06:55Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on September 25?BUY0.4499999878$1.84
09-25 06:41Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on September 25?BUY0.9002065136$4.55
09-25 06:41Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on September 25?BUY0.9$1.80
09-25 06:41Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on September 25?BUY0.9$1.80
09-25 06:41Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on September 25?BUY0.9$1.82
09-25 06:41Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on September 25?BUY0.9$2.73
09-25 06:41Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on September 25?BUY0.9$8.19
09-25 06:41Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on September 25?BUY0.9$10.92
09-25 06:40Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on September 25?BUY0.9$14.56
09-25 06:40Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on September 25?BUY0.9$32.76
09-25 06:38Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on September 25?BUY0.89$2.70
09-25 06:36Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 25?BUY0.18$1.71