0x39040334cF603428349F72B6E3D185DAb54E7D8e-1773674514039
0x39040334cf603428349f72b6e3d185dab54e7d8e
- Realised P&L
- $-232.91
- Volume
- $5.6k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $59.86
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration49.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slovenia vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.590 | 0.595 | $30.25 | +$0.25 |
| Will Slovenia win on 2026-09-26? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.375 | $29.61 | −$0.39 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.124 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$49.40 |
| Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.085 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win 30-34 seats in the Slovenian National Assembly in this election? · Yes | 0.406 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$164.53 |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.053 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Ziga Sesko vs. Daniel Merida Aguilar: Total Sets O/U 2.5 · Over 2.5 | 0.299 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$132.41at 0.248Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
- +$61.45at 0.133Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
- +$44.02at 0.623Will turnout in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections be between 70% and 75%?
- +$29.66at 0.590Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
- +$-49.92at 0.606Will turnout in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections be between 65% and 70%?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 19:42 | Will Slovenia win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.3799999972 | $30.00 |
| 09-25 19:42 | Slovenia vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5899999957 | $30.00 |
| 07-14 10:09 | Ziga Sesko vs. Daniel Merida Aguilar: Total Sets O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.2990033123 | $15.00 |
| 06-23 06:54 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.123999998 | $50.00 |
| 06-11 06:53 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0529999995 | $100.00 |
| 05-30 15:48 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | BUY | 0.38 | $49.40 |
| 05-20 11:35 | Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.359999987 | $10.00 |
| 05-20 11:34 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0849999975 | $30.00 |
| 05-08 06:44 | Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? | SELL | 0.909 | $183.07 |
| 04-11 09:30 | Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? | SELL | 0.0487825913 | $7.33 |
| 04-10 12:46 | Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? | BUY | 0.133092494 | $20.00 |
| 04-03 05:48 | Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? | BUY | 0.2482621648 | $50.00 |
| 04-03 05:47 | Will turnout in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections be between 65% and 70%? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.08 |
| 04-03 05:47 | Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? | SELL | 0.5397724595 | $174.12 |
| 04-03 05:47 | Will turnout in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections be between 70% and 75%? | SELL | 0.991 | $118.70 |