0x390218d8c045f1ea2946d165e79fd673b62b5245
0x390218d8c045f1ea2946d165e79fd673b62b5245
- Realised P&L
- $-5.22
- Volume
- $744.32
- Markets traded
- 102
- Open portfolio
- $20.32
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded102
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? · No | 0.921 | 0.999 | $6.50 | +$0.50 |
| Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix? · No | 0.900 | 0.915 | $5.08 | +$0.08 |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? · No | 0.261 | 0.131 | $3.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will NewJeans release a song in 2026? · Yes | 0.829 | 0.485 | $2.93 | −$2.07 |
| F1: Will Carlos Sainz finish ahead of Fernando Alonso in the 2026 Drivers' Championship? · No | 0.650 | 0.490 | $1.51 | −$0.49 |
| Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · No | 0.942 | 1.000 | $1.22 | +$0.07 |
| Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections? · Yes | 0.136 | 0.002 | $0.07 | −$4.93 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.77at 0.555US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse
- +$5.35at 0.277Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?
- +$4.99at 0.551Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- +$3.89at 0.437Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?
- +$3.67at 0.358Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 01:58 | F1: Will Carlos Sainz finish ahead of Fernando Alonso in the 2026 Drivers' Championship? | BUY | 0.6499999025 | $2.00 |
| 10-12 01:57 | Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.9 | $5.00 |
| 10-09 14:56 | Will George Russell win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.7128712758 | $5.00 |
| 10-09 14:56 | Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.8727272727 | $6.00 |
| 10-05 12:04 | Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.9099999938 | $4.42 |
| 09-25 21:11 | Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.1359999996 | $5.00 |
| 09-24 15:02 | Will there be a safety car during the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.8299999087 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 15:01 | Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.59999994 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 00:00 | Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.8299999834 | $4.00 |
| 09-14 23:55 | Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.2609999971 | $6.00 |
| 09-12 03:13 | Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | BUY | 0.439999956 | $2.00 |
| 09-12 03:13 | Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $2.00 |
| 09-12 03:13 | Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | BUY | 0.4370715333 | $2.00 |
| 09-12 03:11 | Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.88999998 | $4.00 |
| 09-09 18:23 | Will Lando Norris finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.4299999807 | $2.00 |